6′5″, 250 lb · age 26 · Ohio State · 2022 draft, round 3
Week 6 stats
Sun Oct 18, at NE: Jeremy Ruckert played 23% of snaps without a touch.
Stats through week 6; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 6 games this season Jeremy Ruckert is averaging 1.3 receptions and 8 receiving yards on 36% of snaps, against 1.4 receptions and 11 receiving yards over 17 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 3.1 PPR points, TE54 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
3.1
TE54 this week
Receptions
1.1
0.2 below his 2025 average
Receiving yards
10
Anytime TD
19%
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 3 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Jeremy Ruckert snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
1.1 projected
26 wk6
NE
23%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
1.8 -1.8
26 wk5
CLE
33%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
1.9 -1.9
26 wk4
CHI
44%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
1.9 -1.9
26 wk3
DET
42%
13.9%
5
5
39
1
1.8 +3.2
26 wk2
GB
34%
5.6%
2
2
5
0
—
26 wk1
TEN
43%
4.3%
1
1
4
0
—
25 wk18
BUF
60%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
—
25 wk17
NE
61%
9.4%
3
1
2
0
—
25 wk16
NO
67%
8.8%
3
2
14
0
—
25 wk15
JAX
74%
6.2%
2
2
13
0
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 19 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
2 of 19
11%
5+ receptions
0 of 19
0%
7+ receptions
0 of 19
0%
50+ receiving yards
0 of 19
0%
75+ receiving yards
0 of 19
0%
100+ receiving yards
0 of 19
0%
Scored a touchdown
1 of 19
5%
Jeremy Ruckert 2026 stats
Through 6 games of 2026, Jeremy Ruckert has 8 catches for 48 receiving yards (1.3 catches and 8.0 yards a game), with 1 touchdown, on 36% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (6 games)
2022–2025 (54 games)
Catches per game
1.3
1.1
Receiving yards per game
8.0
8.2
Target share
4.0%
4.8%
Jeremy Ruckert 2025 stats
In 2025 Jeremy Ruckert had 23 catches for 179 yards over 17 games, with 1 touchdown, on 47% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
5 seasons of usage, 2022–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016