Sun Oct 18, at GB: Brevyn Spann-Ford caught 4 of 5 targets for 35 yards on 46% of snaps.
Stats through week 6; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 6 games this season Brevyn Spann-Ford is averaging 1.2 receptions and 11 receiving yards on 36% of snaps, against 0.5 receptions and 5 receiving yards over 17 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 3.1 PPR points, TE52 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
3.1
TE52 this week
Receptions
1.2
0.7 above his 2025 average
Receiving yards
12
Anytime TD
14%
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 3 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Brevyn Spann-Ford snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
1.2 projected
26 wk6
GB
46%
9.3%
5
4
35
0
0.9 +3.0
26 wk5
TB
33%
4.8%
2
0
0
0
1.1 -1.1
26 wk4
HOU
40%
2.3%
1
0
0
0
1.1 -1.1
26 wk3
BAL
38%
2.5%
1
1
19
0
0.9 +0.1
26 wk2
WAS
38%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
—
26 wk1
NYG
22%
6.7%
2
2
14
0
—
25 wk18
NYG
31%
13.0%
3
2
30
0
—
25 wk17
WAS
52%
5.6%
2
1
31
0
—
25 wk16
LAC
19%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
—
25 wk15
MIN
30%
2.9%
1
0
0
0
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 19 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
0 of 19
0%
5+ receptions
0 of 19
0%
7+ receptions
0 of 19
0%
50+ receiving yards
0 of 19
0%
75+ receiving yards
0 of 19
0%
100+ receiving yards
0 of 19
0%
Scored a touchdown
1 of 19
5%
Brevyn Spann-Ford 2026 stats
Through 6 games of 2026, Brevyn Spann-Ford has 7 catches for 68 receiving yards (1.2 catches and 11.3 yards a game), on 36% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (6 games)
2024–2025 (34 games)
Catches per game
1.2
0.5
Receiving yards per game
11.3
5.2
Target share
4.3%
2.2%
Brevyn Spann-Ford 2025 stats
In 2025 Brevyn Spann-Ford had 9 catches for 90 yards over 17 games, with 1 touchdown, on 25% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
3 seasons of usage, 2024–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016