6′6″, 255 lb · age 26 · San Diego State · 2022 draft, round 4
Week 6 stats
Sun Oct 18, at IND: Daniel Bellinger was targeted 2 times without a catch on 48% of snaps.
Stats through week 6; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 6 games this season Daniel Bellinger is averaging 0.8 receptions and 5 receiving yards on 43% of snaps, against 1.2 receptions and 18 receiving yards over 16 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 2.9 PPR points, TE55 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
2.9
TE55 this week
Receptions
1.0
0.2 below his 2025 average
Receiving yards
13
Anytime TD
9%
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 3 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Daniel Bellinger snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
1.0 projected
26 wk6
IND
48%
9.1%
2
0
0
0
1.2 -1.2
26 wk5
HOU
44%
5.7%
2
1
5
0
1.3 -0.3
26 wk4
BAL
52%
3.6%
1
1
2
0
1.3 -0.3
26 wk3
NYG
40%
5.7%
2
2
16
0
0.9 +1.1
26 wk2
PHI
45%
5.9%
1
0
0
0
—
26 wk1
NYJ
28%
3.6%
1
1
7
0
—
25 wk18
DAL
92%
6.2%
2
2
38
1
—
25 wk17
LV
97%
10.3%
3
2
11
0
—
25 wk16
MIN
43%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
—
25 wk15
WAS
26%
11.1%
4
3
35
0
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 18 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
3 of 18
17%
5+ receptions
0 of 18
0%
7+ receptions
0 of 18
0%
50+ receiving yards
2 of 18
11%
75+ receiving yards
1 of 18
6%
100+ receiving yards
0 of 18
0%
Scored a touchdown
2 of 18
11%
Daniel Bellinger 2026 stats
Through 6 games of 2026, Daniel Bellinger has 5 catches for 30 receiving yards (0.8 catches and 5.0 yards a game), on 43% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (6 games)
2022–2025 (64 games)
Catches per game
0.8
1.4
Receiving yards per game
5.0
14.9
Target share
5.6%
6.0%
Daniel Bellinger 2025 stats
In 2025 Daniel Bellinger had 19 catches for 286 yards over 16 games, with 2 touchdowns, on 50% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
5 seasons of usage, 2022–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016