Sun Oct 18, at IND: Gunnar Helm played 72% of snaps without a touch.
Stats through week 6; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 6 games this season Gunnar Helm is averaging 1.5 receptions and 10 receiving yards on 77% of snaps, against 2.8 receptions and 22 receiving yards over 16 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 4.6 PPR points, TE37 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
4.6
TE37 this week
Receptions
1.7
1.0 below his 2025 average
Receiving yards
21
Anytime TD
10%
He is used both near the goal line and on third down, roles that run slightly ahead of trailing form: +0.17 receptions.
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 4 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Gunnar Helm snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
1.7 projected
26 wk6
IND
72%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
2.4 -2.4
26 wk5
HOU
71%
2.9%
1
0
0
0
2.8 -2.8
26 wk4
BAL
72%
3.6%
1
1
5
0
3.3 -2.3
26 wk3
NYG
82%
11.4%
4
2
14
0
3.4 -1.4
26 wk2
PHI
87%
11.8%
2
2
13
0
—
26 wk1
NYJ
76%
17.9%
5
4
28
0
—
25 wk17
NO
58%
5.7%
2
1
1
0
—
25 wk16
KC
71%
11.1%
3
2
9
0
—
25 wk15
SF
49%
14.8%
4
4
49
1
—
25 wk14
CLE
67%
8.0%
2
1
8
0
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 18 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
8 of 18
44%
5+ receptions
2 of 18
11%
7+ receptions
0 of 18
0%
50+ receiving yards
1 of 18
6%
75+ receiving yards
0 of 18
0%
100+ receiving yards
0 of 18
0%
Scored a touchdown
2 of 18
11%
Gunnar Helm 2026 stats
Through 6 games of 2026, Gunnar Helm has 9 catches for 60 receiving yards (1.5 catches and 10.0 yards a game), on 77% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (6 games)
2025–2025 (16 games)
Catches per game
1.5
2.8
Receiving yards per game
10.0
22.3
Target share
7.9%
10.7%
Gunnar Helm 2025 stats
In 2025 Gunnar Helm had 44 catches for 357 yards over 16 games, with 2 touchdowns, on 53% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
2 seasons of usage, 2025–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016