Sun Oct 18, vs TEN: Will Mallory caught 2 of 6 targets for 20 yards on 52% of snaps.
Stats through week 6; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Will Mallory has no full prior season to anchor to, so this week’s projection leans on his 1 game of current-season usage alone — treat it as a thinner read than a veteran’s.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
4.4
TE39 this week
Receptions
1.9
1.4 above his 2025 average
Receiving yards
27
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 4 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Will Mallory snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
1.9 projected
26 wk6
TEN
52%
15.8%
6
2
20
0
—
25 wk17
JAX
19%
3.4%
1
1
16
0
—
25 wk5
LV
8%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
Will Mallory 2026 stats
Through 1 game of 2026, Will Mallory has 2 catches for 20 receiving yards (2.0 catches and 20.0 yards a game), on 52% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (1 game)
2023–2025 (24 games)
Catches per game
2.0
1.0
Receiving yards per game
20.0
10.5
Target share
15.8%
4.4%
Will Mallory 2025 stats
In 2025 Will Mallory had 1 catches for 16 yards over 2 games, on 14% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
4 seasons of usage, 2023–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016