Sun Oct 18, at LA: Elijah Higgins caught 3 of 3 targets for 28 yards on 44% of snaps.
Stats through week 6; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 6 games this season Elijah Higgins is averaging 1.8 receptions and 21 receiving yards on 38% of snaps, against 1.8 receptions and 18 receiving yards over 17 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 4.1 PPR points, TE41 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
4.1
TE41 this week
Receptions
1.9
0.1 above his 2025 average
Receiving yards
14
Anytime TD
15%
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 4 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Elijah Higgins snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
1.9 projected
26 wk6
LA
44%
8.8%
3
3
28
0
1.7 +1.3
26 wk5
DET
53%
6.5%
3
3
57
0
1.4 +1.6
26 wk4
NYG
36%
5.7%
2
2
19
1
0.9 +1.1
26 wk3
SF
40%
6.0%
3
3
20
0
0.7 +2.3
26 wk2
SEA
26%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
—
26 wk1
LAC
27%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
—
25 wk18
LA
60%
10.7%
3
3
28
0
—
25 wk17
CIN
60%
2.9%
1
0
0
0
—
25 wk16
ATL
63%
27.6%
8
7
91
0
—
25 wk15
HOU
70%
5.3%
2
1
3
0
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 19 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
3 of 19
16%
5+ receptions
1 of 19
5%
7+ receptions
1 of 19
5%
50+ receiving yards
1 of 19
5%
75+ receiving yards
1 of 19
5%
100+ receiving yards
0 of 19
0%
Scored a touchdown
0 of 19
0%
Elijah Higgins 2026 stats
Through 6 games of 2026, Elijah Higgins has 11 catches for 124 receiving yards (1.8 catches and 20.7 yards a game), with 1 touchdown, on 38% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (6 games)
2023–2025 (45 games)
Catches per game
1.8
1.4
Receiving yards per game
20.7
14.1
Target share
4.5%
5.7%
Elijah Higgins 2025 stats
In 2025 Elijah Higgins had 30 catches for 301 yards over 17 games, on 43% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
4 seasons of usage, 2023–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016