Sun Oct 4, vs DAL: Brevin Jordan caught 1 of 1 target for 13 yards on 9% of snaps.
Stats through week 4; the week 5 projection below. Checked Oct 8, 2026. Full game log.
Brevin Jordan has no full prior season to anchor to, so this week’s projection leans on his 1 game of current-season usage alone — treat it as a thinner read than a veteran’s.
Week 5 projection
PPR points
1.8
TE68 this week
Receptions
0.9
Receiving yards
10
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 2 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
TD
We said
26 wk5
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
0.9 projected
26 wk4
DAL
9%
3.8%
1
1
13
0
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
Brevin Jordan 2026 stats
Through 1 game of 2026, Brevin Jordan has 1 catches for 13 receiving yards (1.0 catches and 13.0 yards a game), on 9% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (1 game)
2021–2024 (37 games)
Catches per game
1.0
1.5
Receiving yards per game
13.0
16.4
Target share
3.8%
6.9%
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
5 seasons of usage, 2021–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016