Sun Oct 18, vs BAL: Blake Whiteheart caught 1 of 1 target for 8 yards on 27% of snaps.
Stats through week 6; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 6 games this season Blake Whiteheart is averaging 0.5 receptions and 6 receiving yards on 34% of snaps, against 0.1 receptions and 0 receiving yards over 16 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 1.6 PPR points, TE71 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
1.6
TE71 this week
Receptions
0.4
0.3 above his 2025 average
Receiving yards
7
Anytime TD
9%
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 1 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Blake Whiteheart snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
0.4 projected
26 wk6
BAL
27%
4.0%
1
1
8
0
0.4 +0.6
26 wk5
NYJ
19%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0.7 -0.7
26 wk4
PIT
34%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0.7 -0.7
26 wk3
CAR
39%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0.8 -0.8
26 wk2
TB
47%
6.7%
2
1
17
1
—
26 wk1
JAX
39%
4.5%
1
1
14
0
—
25 wk18
CIN
65%
4.8%
1
0
0
0
—
25 wk17
PIT
62%
4.3%
1
0
0
0
—
25 wk16
BUF
36%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
—
25 wk15
CHI
18%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 18 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
0 of 18
0%
5+ receptions
0 of 18
0%
7+ receptions
0 of 18
0%
50+ receiving yards
0 of 18
0%
75+ receiving yards
0 of 18
0%
100+ receiving yards
0 of 18
0%
Scored a touchdown
1 of 18
6%
Blake Whiteheart 2026 stats
Through 6 games of 2026, Blake Whiteheart has 3 catches for 39 receiving yards (0.5 catches and 6.5 yards a game), with 1 touchdown, on 34% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (6 games)
2023–2025 (28 games)
Catches per game
0.5
0.3
Receiving yards per game
6.5
2.0
Target share
2.5%
1.7%
Blake Whiteheart 2025 stats
In 2025 Blake Whiteheart had 2 catches for 4 yards over 16 games, on 25% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
4 seasons of usage, 2023–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016