Sun Oct 11, at TEN: Jared Wayne played 32% of snaps without a touch.
Stats through week 5; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Jared Wayne has no full prior season to anchor to, so this week’s projection leans on his 4 games of current-season usage alone — treat it as a thinner read than a veteran’s.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
2.8
WR110 this week
Receptions
0.2
1.8 below his 2025 average
Receiving yards
19
Anytime TD
12%
Returning from a missed week. Players in their first game back come in about a third of a reception below recent form, so this projection is held down rather than reading his last line straight across.
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 1 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Jared Wayne snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
0.2 projected
26 wk5
TEN
32%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
1.2 -1.2
26 wk4
DAL
29%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
1.7 -1.7
26 wk3
IND
61%
16.0%
4
1
20
0
2.4 -1.4
26 wk2
CIN
50%
14.0%
7
2
33
0
—
26 wk1
BUF
32%
2.7%
1
1
12
0
—
25 wk8
SF
44%
5.3%
2
2
20
0
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
Jared Wayne 2026 stats
Through 5 games of 2026, Jared Wayne has 4 catches for 65 receiving yards (0.8 catches and 13.0 yards a game), on 41% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (5 games)
2024–2025 (5 games)
Catches per game
0.8
0.4
Receiving yards per game
13.0
4.0
Target share
6.5%
2.5%
Jared Wayne 2025 stats
In 2025 Jared Wayne had 2 catches for 20 yards over 1 games, on 44% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
3 seasons of usage, 2024–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016