Sun Oct 18, vs ARI: Jordan Whittington played 14% of snaps without a touch.
Stats through week 6; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 5 games this season Jordan Whittington is averaging 0.4 receptions and 2 receiving yards on 28% of snaps, against 1.1 receptions and 11 receiving yards over 19 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 2.6 PPR points, WR112 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
2.6
WR112 this week
Receptions
0.7
0.4 below his 2025 average
Receiving yards
12
Anytime TD
14%
His snap share has fallen from last season. The projection is pulled down to reflect the smaller role rather than last year’s.
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 2 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Jordan Whittington snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
Car
Rush yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
0.7 projected
26 wk6
ARI
14%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.7 -0.7
26 wk5
BUF
13%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
1.1 -1.1
26 wk4
PHI
50%
4.0%
2
1
4
0
0
0
0.5 +0.5
26 wk3
DEN
24%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
1.6 -1.6
26 wk1
SF
41%
3.7%
1
1
8
0
0
0
—
25 wk21
SEA
5%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
—
25 wk20
CHI
60%
5.0%
2
2
35
1
0
0
—
25 wk18
ARI
—
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
—
25 wk17
ATL
20%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
—
25 wk16
SEA
16%
2.1%
1
1
19
0
0
0
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 20 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
2 of 20
10%
5+ receptions
0 of 20
0%
7+ receptions
0 of 20
0%
50+ receiving yards
0 of 20
0%
75+ receiving yards
0 of 20
0%
100+ receiving yards
0 of 20
0%
Scored a touchdown
0 of 20
0%
Jordan Whittington 2026 stats
Through 5 games of 2026, Jordan Whittington has 2 catches for 12 receiving yards (0.4 catches and 2.4 yards a game), on 28% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (5 games)
2024–2025 (36 games)
Catches per game
0.4
1.2
Receiving yards per game
2.4
14.2
Target share
1.5%
4.6%
Jordan Whittington 2025 stats
In 2025 Jordan Whittington had 20 catches for 206 yards over 19 games, on 42% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
3 seasons of usage, 2024–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016