Sun Oct 18, at PHI: Jalen Coker caught 6 of 13 targets for 97 yards on 75% of snaps.
Stats through week 6; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 4 games this season Jalen Coker is averaging 6.0 receptions and 80 receiving yards on 68% of snaps, against 3.5 receptions and 44 receiving yards over 12 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 12.2 PPR points, WR20 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
12.2
WR20 this week
Receptions
4.0
0.5 above his 2025 average
Receiving yards
61
Anytime TD
28%
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 1 and 7 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Jalen Coker snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
4.0 projected
26 wk6
PHI
75%
37.1%
13
6
97
0
3.6 +2.4
26 wk3
CLE
36%
9.5%
4
2
18
0
4.9 -2.9
26 wk2
ATL
76%
28.1%
9
8
66
0
—
26 wk1
CHI
84%
26.5%
9
8
138
2
—
25 wk19
LA
88%
32.4%
12
9
134
1
—
25 wk18
TB
92%
23.3%
7
6
47
1
—
25 wk17
SEA
72%
9.5%
2
2
16
0
—
25 wk16
TB
81%
16.1%
5
3
47
0
—
25 wk15
NO
68%
20.0%
4
4
60
1
—
25 wk13
LA
55%
30.0%
6
4
74
1
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 14 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
11 of 14
79%
5+ receptions
4 of 14
29%
7+ receptions
3 of 14
21%
50+ receiving yards
6 of 14
43%
75+ receiving yards
2 of 14
14%
100+ receiving yards
2 of 14
14%
Scored a touchdown
5 of 14
36%
Jalen Coker 2026 stats
Through 4 games of 2026, Jalen Coker has 24 catches for 319 receiving yards (6.0 catches and 79.8 yards a game), with 2 touchdowns, on 68% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (4 games)
2024–2025 (23 games)
Catches per game
6.0
3.2
Receiving yards per game
79.8
43.7
Target share
25.3%
15.8%
Jalen Coker 2025 stats
In 2025 Jalen Coker had 42 catches for 528 yards over 12 games, with 4 touchdowns, on 71% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
3 seasons of usage, 2024–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016