Sun Oct 18, at PHI: Brycen Tremayne played 32% of snaps without a touch.
Stats through week 6; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 5 games this season Brycen Tremayne is averaging 1.2 receptions and 23 receiving yards on 48% of snaps, against 0.8 receptions and 9 receiving yards over 17 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 4.1 PPR points, WR85 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
4.1
WR85 this week
Receptions
1.2
0.4 above his 2025 average
Receiving yards
22
Anytime TD
9%
His snap share has grown from last season. The projection is lifted to reflect the larger role.
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 3 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Brycen Tremayne snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
1.2 projected
26 wk6
PHI
32%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
1.4 -1.4
26 wk4
DET
92%
7.7%
3
2
32
0
1.2 +0.8
26 wk3
CLE
81%
14.3%
6
4
83
0
0.5 +3.5
26 wk2
ATL
17%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
—
26 wk1
CHI
18%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
—
25 wk19
LA
9%
2.7%
1
0
0
0
—
25 wk18
TB
14%
6.7%
2
2
27
0
—
25 wk17
SEA
15%
4.8%
1
0
0
0
—
25 wk16
TB
15%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
—
25 wk15
NO
14%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 19 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
2 of 19
11%
5+ receptions
0 of 19
0%
7+ receptions
0 of 19
0%
50+ receiving yards
0 of 19
0%
75+ receiving yards
0 of 19
0%
100+ receiving yards
0 of 19
0%
Scored a touchdown
0 of 19
0%
Brycen Tremayne 2026 stats
Through 5 games of 2026, Brycen Tremayne has 6 catches for 115 receiving yards (1.2 catches and 23.0 yards a game), on 48% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (5 games)
2024–2025 (19 games)
Catches per game
1.2
0.8
Receiving yards per game
23.0
8.3
Target share
4.4%
3.2%
Brycen Tremayne 2025 stats
In 2025 Brycen Tremayne had 14 catches for 160 yards over 17 games, on 24% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
3 seasons of usage, 2024–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016