Thu Oct 15, vs SEA: Troy Franklin caught 1 of 1 target for 2 yards on 52% of snaps.
Stats through week 6; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 6 games this season Troy Franklin is averaging 0.8 receptions and 11 receiving yards on 39% of snaps, against 3.6 receptions and 39 receiving yards over 18 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 3.9 PPR points, WR88 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
3.9
WR88 this week
Receptions
1.4
2.2 below his 2025 average
Receiving yards
20
Anytime TD
9%
He is used near the goal line, a role that runs slightly ahead of trailing form: +0.07 receptions.
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 3 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Troy Franklin snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
Car
Rush yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
1.4 projected
26 wk6
SEA
52%
4.2%
1
1
2
0
0
0
1.2 -0.2
26 wk5
LAC
63%
9.1%
2
2
16
0
0
0
1.3 +0.7
26 wk4
SF
48%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
1.9 -1.9
26 wk3
LA
18%
3.2%
1
1
21
0
0
0
1.8 -0.8
26 wk2
JAX
21%
6.9%
2
1
27
0
0
0
—
26 wk1
KC
33%
3.7%
1
0
0
1
5
0
—
25 wk20
BUF
18%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
—
25 wk18
LAC
42%
4.3%
1
0
0
0
0
0
—
25 wk17
KC
38%
10.8%
4
4
17
0
0
0
—
25 wk16
JAX
64%
10.9%
5
4
66
0
0
0
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 20 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
14 of 20
70%
5+ receptions
4 of 20
20%
7+ receptions
1 of 20
5%
50+ receiving yards
6 of 20
30%
75+ receiving yards
4 of 20
20%
100+ receiving yards
0 of 20
0%
Scored a touchdown
5 of 20
25%
Troy Franklin 2026 stats
Through 6 games of 2026, Troy Franklin has 5 catches for 66 receiving yards (0.8 catches and 11.0 yards a game), on 39% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (6 games)
2024–2025 (35 games)
Catches per game
0.8
2.7
Receiving yards per game
11.0
29.3
Target share
4.5%
14.1%
Troy Franklin 2025 stats
In 2025 Troy Franklin had 65 catches for 709 yards over 18 games, with 6 touchdowns, on 57% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
3 seasons of usage, 2024–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016