Bryce Lance

New Orleans Saints · Wide receiverWR3

6′3″, 204 lb · age 24 · North Dakota State · 2026 draft, round 4

Week 6 stats

Sun Oct 18, at NYG: Bryce Lance caught 2 of 4 targets for 9 yards, 1 touchdown on 50% of snaps.

Stats through week 6; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.

Bryce Lance has no full prior season to anchor to, so this week’s projection leans on his 5 games of current-season usage alone — treat it as a thinner read than a veteran’s.

Week 7 projection

PPR points

3.8

WR90 this week

Receptions

1.1

Receiving yards

Anytime TD

14%

He is the third-down option, a role that runs slightly ahead of trailing form: +0.09 receptions.

What a realistic week looks like

The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 3 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.

Bryce Lance snap share, game by game

Snap shareTarget share

Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.

Game log

Game	Opp	Snap share	Target share	Tgt	Rec	Rec yds	TD	We said
26 wk7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.1 projected
26 wk6	NYG	50%	13.3%	4	2	9	1	1.6 +0.4
26 wk5	MIN	42%	12.5%	3	0	0	0	1.8 -1.8
26 wk4	ATL	85%	10.6%	5	1	7	0	2.0 -1.0
26 wk3	LV	72%	7.5%	3	0	0	0	2.2 -2.2
26 wk2	BAL	79%	3.1%	1	1	8	0	—
26 wk1	DET	69%	7.7%	4	3	42	0	—

“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.

Bryce Lance 2026 stats

Through 6 games of 2026, Bryce Lance has 7 catches for 66 receiving yards (1.2 catches and 11.0 yards a game), with 1 touchdown, on 66% of snaps.

His first season in the warehouse, so there is no prior year to compare against and no career arc to draw — the projection leans on the league's rookies rather than on him.

	2026 so far (6 games)
Catches per game	1.2
Receiving yards per game	11.0
Target share	9.1%

The whole New Orleans Saints roomEvery pass-catcher ranked by the usage that predicts production

Related players

The rest of the New Orleans Saints receiver room, by target share.

Ranked next to him at WR for week 7.

Jordan Watkins WR87 · SF
Troy Franklin WR88 · DEN
Zachariah Branch WR89 · ATL
Tez Johnson WR91 · TB
Ashton Dulin WR92 · IND
Calvin Ridley WR93 · TEN

What we have measured about wide receivers

Are players better coming off a bye week?They are slightly worse Do defenses shut down the other team’s best receiver?Barely

Projections are as-of-week with no lookahead · usage from official play-by-play and snap counts · 2026 week 7