Sun Oct 18, at NYG: Devaughn Vele caught 3 of 6 targets for 42 yards on 92% of snaps.
Stats through week 6; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 6 games this season Devaughn Vele is averaging 4.7 receptions and 49 receiving yards on 92% of snaps, against 1.9 receptions and 23 receiving yards over 13 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 9.0 PPR points, WR41 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
9.0
WR41 this week
Receptions
4.0
2.1 above his 2025 average
Receiving yards
40
Anytime TD
23%
He is the third-down option, a role that runs slightly ahead of trailing form: +0.09 receptions.
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 1 and 7 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Devaughn Vele snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
4.0 projected
26 wk6
NYG
92%
20.0%
6
3
42
0
4.5 -1.5
26 wk5
MIN
96%
25.0%
6
4
26
0
4.0 +0.0
26 wk4
ATL
89%
19.1%
9
6
54
1
3.8 +2.2
26 wk3
LV
88%
15.0%
6
3
39
0
3.9 -0.9
26 wk2
BAL
96%
21.9%
7
5
64
0
—
26 wk1
DET
91%
17.3%
9
7
69
1
—
25 wk15
CAR
55%
19.4%
6
5
69
0
—
25 wk14
TB
93%
25.0%
5
3
40
0
—
25 wk13
MIA
88%
23.5%
8
8
93
1
—
25 wk12
ATL
89%
16.3%
7
3
37
0
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 15 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
6 of 15
40%
5+ receptions
4 of 15
27%
7+ receptions
2 of 15
13%
50+ receiving yards
4 of 15
27%
75+ receiving yards
1 of 15
7%
100+ receiving yards
0 of 15
0%
Scored a touchdown
3 of 15
20%
Devaughn Vele 2026 stats
Through 6 games of 2026, Devaughn Vele has 28 catches for 294 receiving yards (4.7 catches and 49.0 yards a game), with 2 touchdowns, on 92% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (6 games)
2024–2025 (27 games)
Catches per game
4.7
2.4
Receiving yards per game
49.0
28.4
Target share
19.7%
10.8%
Devaughn Vele 2025 stats
In 2025 Devaughn Vele had 25 catches for 293 yards over 13 games, with 2 touchdowns, on 50% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
3 seasons of usage, 2024–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016