Sun Oct 11, vs CIN: Malik Washington caught 6 of 8 targets for 43 yards on 80% of snaps.
Stats through week 5; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 5 games this season Malik Washington is averaging 4.6 receptions and 52 receiving yards on 85% of snaps, against 2.7 receptions and 19 receiving yards over 17 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 9.5 PPR points, WR38 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
9.5
WR38 this week
Receptions
3.9
1.2 above his 2025 average
Receiving yards
49
Anytime TD
17%
His snap share has grown from last season. The projection is lifted to reflect the larger role.
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 1 and 7 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Malik Washington snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
Car
Rush yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
3.9 projected
26 wk5
CIN
80%
30.8%
8
6
43
1
18
0
3.9 +2.1
26 wk4
MIN
87%
29.4%
5
5
67
2
3
0
3.7 +1.3
26 wk3
KC
86%
28.6%
10
5
56
2
5
0
3.8 +1.2
26 wk2
SF
73%
21.7%
5
4
43
1
4
0
—
26 wk1
LV
98%
29.6%
8
3
53
0
0
0
—
25 wk18
NE
70%
16.7%
4
3
6
2
22
1
—
25 wk17
TB
64%
13.6%
3
1
4
1
1
0
—
25 wk16
CIN
53%
3.4%
1
1
23
1
9
1
—
25 wk15
PIT
56%
3.8%
1
1
10
0
0
0
—
25 wk14
NYJ
52%
19.0%
4
3
10
0
0
0
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 19 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
12 of 19
63%
5+ receptions
1 of 19
5%
7+ receptions
0 of 19
0%
50+ receiving yards
1 of 19
5%
75+ receiving yards
0 of 19
0%
100+ receiving yards
0 of 19
0%
Scored a touchdown
4 of 19
21%
Malik Washington 2026 stats
Through 5 games of 2026, Malik Washington has 23 catches for 262 receiving yards (4.6 catches and 52.4 yards a game), on 85% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (5 games)
2024–2025 (31 games)
Catches per game
4.6
2.3
Receiving yards per game
52.4
17.4
Target share
28.0%
11.5%
Malik Washington 2025 stats
In 2025 Malik Washington had 46 catches for 317 yards over 17 games, with 4 touchdowns, on 57% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
3 seasons of usage, 2024–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016