Kevin Coleman Jr.

Miami Dolphins · Wide receiverWR2

5′10″, 180 lb · age 23 · Missouri; Mississippi State; Louisville; Jackson State University · 2026 draft, round 5

Week 5 stats

Sun Oct 11, vs CIN: Kevin Coleman Jr. caught 3 of 7 targets for 30 yards, 1 touchdown on 64% of snaps.

Stats through week 5; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.

Kevin Coleman Jr. has no full prior season to anchor to, so this week’s projection leans on his 4 games of current-season usage alone — treat it as a thinner read than a veteran’s.

Week 7 projection

PPR points

5.2

WR70 this week

Receptions

1.9

Receiving yards

Anytime TD

15%

He is used near the goal line, a role that runs slightly ahead of trailing form: +0.07 receptions.

What a realistic week looks like

The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 4 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.

Kevin Coleman Jr. snap share, game by game

Snap shareTarget share

Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.

Game log

Game	Opp	Snap share	Target share	Tgt	Rec	Rec yds	TD	We said
26 wk7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.9 projected
26 wk5	CIN	64%	26.9%	7	3	30	1	1.2 +1.8
26 wk4	MIN	51%	23.5%	4	1	3	0	1.0 +0.0
26 wk3	KC	62%	11.4%	4	1	3	0	0.9 +0.1
26 wk2	SF	46%	0.0%	0	0	0	0	—
26 wk1	LV	29%	7.4%	2	0	0	0	—

“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.

Kevin Coleman Jr. 2026 stats

Through 5 games of 2026, Kevin Coleman Jr. has 5 catches for 36 receiving yards (1.0 catches and 7.2 yards a game), with 1 touchdown, on 50% of snaps.

His first season in the warehouse, so there is no prior year to compare against and no career arc to draw — the projection leans on the league's rookies rather than on him.

	2026 so far (5 games)
Catches per game	1.0
Receiving yards per game	7.2
Target share	13.9%

If Kevin Coleman Jr. sits, who gets his work?The measured redistribution across the MIA room — with sample size and t-statistic The whole Miami Dolphins roomEvery pass-catcher ranked by the usage that predicts production

Related players

The rest of the Miami Dolphins receiver room, by target share.

Ranked next to him at WR for week 7.

Ted Hurst III WR67 · TB
Isaiah Williams WR68 · NYJ
Jerry Jeudy WR69 · CLE
Konata Mumpfield WR71 · LA
Jauan Jennings WR72 · MIN
John Metchie III WR73 · CAR

What we have measured about wide receivers

Are players better coming off a bye week?They are slightly worse Do defenses shut down the other team’s best receiver?Barely

Projections are as-of-week with no lookahead · usage from official play-by-play and snap counts · 2026 week 7