Sun Oct 18, vs BAL: Jerry Jeudy caught 4 of 4 targets for 69 yards on 62% of snaps.
Stats through week 6; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 6 games this season Jerry Jeudy is averaging 2.0 receptions and 25 receiving yards on 59% of snaps, against 2.9 receptions and 35 receiving yards over 17 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 5.2 PPR points, WR69 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
5.2
WR69 this week
Receptions
2.2
0.8 below his 2025 average
Receiving yards
25
Anytime TD
9%
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 5 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Jerry Jeudy snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
Car
Rush yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
2.2 projected
26 wk6
BAL
62%
16.0%
4
4
69
0
0
0
1.8 +2.2
26 wk5
NYJ
81%
21.9%
7
3
19
0
0
0
1.8 +1.2
26 wk4
PIT
38%
9.1%
3
3
36
0
0
0
1.8 +1.2
26 wk3
CAR
51%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
2.2 -2.2
26 wk2
TB
59%
3.3%
1
0
0
0
0
0
—
26 wk1
JAX
63%
18.2%
4
2
26
0
0
0
—
25 wk18
CIN
88%
28.6%
6
2
17
1
5
0
—
25 wk17
PIT
94%
30.4%
7
5
54
0
0
0
—
25 wk16
BUF
73%
14.8%
4
3
12
0
0
0
—
25 wk15
CHI
96%
12.9%
4
2
22
0
0
0
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 19 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
10 of 19
53%
5+ receptions
4 of 19
21%
7+ receptions
0 of 19
0%
50+ receiving yards
5 of 19
26%
75+ receiving yards
2 of 19
11%
100+ receiving yards
0 of 19
0%
Scored a touchdown
2 of 19
11%
Jerry Jeudy 2026 stats
Through 6 games of 2026, Jerry Jeudy has 12 catches for 150 receiving yards (2.0 catches and 25.0 yards a game), on 59% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (6 games)
2020–2025 (91 games)
Catches per game
2.0
3.9
Receiving yards per game
25.0
53.7
Target share
11.4%
20.8%
Jerry Jeudy 2025 stats
In 2025 Jerry Jeudy had 50 catches for 602 yards over 17 games, with 2 touchdowns, on 85% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
7 seasons of usage, 2020–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016