5′11″, 200 lb · age 27 · Oklahoma State · 2021 draft, round 4
Week 6 stats
Sun Oct 18, vs BAL: Tylan Wallace caught 1 of 1 target for 12 yards on 16% of snaps.
Stats through week 6; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 4 games this season Tylan Wallace is averaging 0.2 receptions and 3 receiving yards on 22% of snaps, against 0.3 receptions and 3 receiving yards over 14 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 0.9 PPR points, WR153 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
0.9
WR153 this week
Receptions
0.1
0.2 below his 2025 average
Receiving yards
4
Anytime TD
7%
Returning from a missed week. Players in their first game back come in about a third of a reception below recent form, so this projection is held down rather than reading his last line straight across.
His snap share is down, but he is on the injury report, so the drop is not read as a smaller role.
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 0 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Tylan Wallace snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
0.1 projected
26 wk6
BAL
16%
4.0%
1
1
12
0
0.1 +0.9
26 wk3
CAR
20%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0.3 -0.3
26 wk2
TB
24%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
—
26 wk1
JAX
29%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
—
25 wk18
PIT
2%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
—
25 wk15
CIN
17%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
—
25 wk14
PIT
4%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
—
25 wk12
NYJ
27%
5.0%
1
0
0
0
—
25 wk11
CLE
43%
4.0%
1
0
0
0
—
25 wk10
MIN
11%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 16 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
0 of 16
0%
5+ receptions
0 of 16
0%
7+ receptions
0 of 16
0%
50+ receiving yards
0 of 16
0%
75+ receiving yards
0 of 16
0%
100+ receiving yards
0 of 16
0%
Scored a touchdown
1 of 16
6%
Tylan Wallace 2026 stats
Through 4 games of 2026, Tylan Wallace has 1 catches for 12 receiving yards (0.2 catches and 3.0 yards a game), on 22% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (4 games)
2021–2025 (63 games)
Catches per game
0.2
0.4
Receiving yards per game
3.0
5.6
Target share
1.0%
2.1%
Tylan Wallace 2025 stats
In 2025 Tylan Wallace had 4 catches for 45 yards over 14 games, with 1 touchdown, on 23% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
6 seasons of usage, 2021–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016