KC Concepcion

Cleveland Browns · Wide receiverWR1

6′0″, 190 lb · age 22 · Texas A&M; N.C. State · 2026 draft, round 1

Week 6 stats

Sun Oct 18, vs BAL: KC Concepcion caught 4 of 6 targets for 37 yards on 81% of snaps.

Stats through week 6; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.

KC Concepcion has no full prior season to anchor to, so this week’s projection leans on his 5 games of current-season usage alone — treat it as a thinner read than a veteran’s.

Week 7 projection

PPR points

7.9

WR51 this week

Receptions

3.3

Receiving yards

Anytime TD

19%

What a realistic week looks like

The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 1 and 6 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.

KC Concepcion snap share, game by game

Snap shareTarget share

Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.

Game log

Game	Opp	Snap share	Target share	Tgt	Rec	Rec yds	Car	Rush yds	TD	We said
26 wk7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	3.3 projected
26 wk6	BAL	81%	24.0%	6	4	37	2	2	0	3.3 +0.7
26 wk5	NYJ	16%	3.1%	1	1	5	0	0	0	4.1 -3.1
26 wk4	PIT	92%	24.2%	8	5	64	0	0	0	3.5 +1.5
26 wk3	CAR	86%	30.0%	9	2	9	0	0	0	4.1 -2.1
26 wk2	TB	66%	20.0%	6	6	28	1	-6	0	—
26 wk1	JAX	69%	22.7%	5	4	43	3	15	0	—

“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.

KC Concepcion 2026 stats

Through 6 games of 2026, KC Concepcion has 22 catches for 186 receiving yards (3.7 catches and 31.0 yards a game), on 68% of snaps.

His first season in the warehouse, so there is no prior year to compare against and no career arc to draw — the projection leans on the league's rookies rather than on him.

	2026 so far (6 games)
Catches per game	3.7
Receiving yards per game	31.0
Target share	20.7%

If KC Concepcion sits, who gets his work?The measured redistribution across the CLE room — with sample size and t-statistic The whole Cleveland Browns roomEvery pass-catcher ranked by the usage that predicts production

Related players

The rest of the Cleveland Browns receiver room, by target share.

Ranked next to him at WR for week 7.

Cooper Kupp WR48 · SEA
Makai Lemon WR49 · PHI
Xavier Hutchinson WR50 · HOU
Rashod Bateman WR52 · BAL
Ja'Kobi Lane WR53 · BAL
Jaylin Noel WR54 · HOU

What we have measured about wide receivers

Are players better coming off a bye week?They are slightly worse Do defenses shut down the other team’s best receiver?Barely

Projections are as-of-week with no lookahead · usage from official play-by-play and snap counts · 2026 week 7