6′2″, 205 lb · age 33 · Eastern Washington · 2017 draft, round 3
Week 6 stats
Thu Oct 15, at DEN: Cooper Kupp caught 5 of 10 targets for 50 yards on 85% of snaps.
Stats through week 6; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 6 games this season Cooper Kupp is averaging 2.7 receptions and 30 receiving yards on 68% of snaps, against 3.3 receptions and 39 receiving yards over 19 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 8.0 PPR points, WR48 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
8.0
WR48 this week
Receptions
3.2
0.0 below his 2025 average
Receiving yards
36
Anytime TD
20%
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 1 and 6 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Cooper Kupp snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
3.2 projected
26 wk6
DEN
85%
21.7%
10
5
50
0
2.6 +2.4
26 wk5
SF
81%
11.1%
3
2
15
0
2.9 -0.9
26 wk4
LAC
57%
10.0%
2
1
13
0
2.9 -1.9
26 wk3
WAS
67%
11.1%
5
4
46
1
3.0 +1.0
26 wk2
ARI
43%
7.7%
2
2
20
0
—
26 wk1
NE
78%
12.5%
3
2
35
0
—
25 wk22
NE
78%
33.3%
12
6
61
0
—
25 wk21
LA
78%
17.6%
6
4
36
1
—
25 wk20
SF
74%
31.2%
5
5
60
0
—
25 wk18
SF
77%
11.5%
3
2
29
0
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 21 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
10 of 21
48%
5+ receptions
5 of 21
24%
7+ receptions
1 of 21
5%
50+ receiving yards
5 of 21
24%
75+ receiving yards
1 of 21
5%
100+ receiving yards
0 of 21
0%
Scored a touchdown
3 of 21
14%
Cooper Kupp 2026 stats
Through 6 games of 2026, Cooper Kupp has 16 catches for 179 receiving yards (2.7 catches and 29.8 yards a game), with 1 touchdown, on 68% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (6 games)
2017–2025 (132 games)
Catches per game
2.7
5.7
Receiving yards per game
29.8
70.2
Target share
12.4%
24.0%
Cooper Kupp 2025 stats
In 2025 Cooper Kupp had 62 catches for 750 yards over 19 games, with 3 touchdowns, on 76% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
10 seasons of usage, 2017–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016