Thu Oct 15, at DEN: Rashid Shaheed caught 5 of 8 targets for 66 yards on 46% of snaps.
Stats through week 6; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 6 games this season Rashid Shaheed is averaging 2.3 receptions and 27 receiving yards on 53% of snaps, against 3.0 receptions and 36 receiving yards over 21 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 7.1 PPR points, WR55 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
7.1
WR55 this week
Receptions
2.6
0.4 below his 2025 average
Receiving yards
34
Anytime TD
20%
He is the third-down option, a role that runs slightly ahead of trailing form: +0.05 receptions.
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 5 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Rashid Shaheed snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
Car
Rush yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
2.6 projected
26 wk6
DEN
46%
17.4%
8
5
66
1
2
0
2.2 +2.8
26 wk5
SF
46%
14.8%
4
2
23
0
0
0
2.4 -0.4
26 wk4
LAC
60%
15.0%
3
1
20
2
33
1
2.6 -1.6
26 wk3
WAS
46%
6.7%
3
2
14
0
0
0
2.9 -0.9
26 wk2
ARI
56%
23.1%
6
3
35
1
4
0
—
26 wk1
NE
66%
12.5%
3
1
4
0
0
0
—
25 wk22
NE
57%
13.9%
5
2
27
1
-5
0
—
25 wk21
LA
57%
8.8%
3
1
51
1
0
0
—
25 wk20
SF
42%
12.5%
2
0
0
2
27
0
—
25 wk18
SF
48%
3.8%
1
1
2
0
0
0
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 23 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
12 of 23
52%
5+ receptions
4 of 23
17%
7+ receptions
1 of 23
4%
50+ receiving yards
7 of 23
30%
75+ receiving yards
2 of 23
9%
100+ receiving yards
1 of 23
4%
Scored a touchdown
2 of 23
9%
Rashid Shaheed 2026 stats
Through 6 games of 2026, Rashid Shaheed has 14 catches for 162 receiving yards (2.3 catches and 27.0 yards a game), with 1 touchdown, on 53% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (6 games)
2022–2025 (54 games)
Catches per game
2.3
2.9
Receiving yards per game
27.0
43.0
Target share
14.9%
15.4%
Rashid Shaheed 2025 stats
In 2025 Rashid Shaheed had 62 catches for 765 yards over 21 games, with 2 touchdowns, on 60% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
5 seasons of usage, 2022–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016