Sun Oct 18, at CLE: Rashod Bateman was targeted once without a catch on 30% of snaps.
Stats through week 6; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 6 games this season Rashod Bateman is averaging 2.7 receptions and 39 receiving yards on 69% of snaps, against 1.5 receptions and 17 receiving yards over 13 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 7.9 PPR points, WR52 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
7.9
WR52 this week
Receptions
2.7
1.3 above his 2025 average
Receiving yards
34
Anytime TD
22%
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 5 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Rashod Bateman snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
2.7 projected
26 wk6
CLE
30%
3.2%
1
0
0
0
3.0 -3.0
26 wk5
ATL
80%
19.4%
6
5
62
0
2.5 +2.5
26 wk4
TEN
47%
6.9%
2
2
46
0
2.8 -0.8
26 wk3
DAL
88%
15.0%
3
2
37
0
2.9 -0.9
26 wk2
NO
93%
31.0%
9
7
88
1
—
26 wk1
IND
78%
4.2%
1
0
0
0
—
25 wk17
GB
53%
5.0%
1
1
7
0
—
25 wk16
NE
69%
10.0%
2
0
0
0
—
25 wk14
PIT
86%
9.1%
3
2
23
0
—
25 wk13
CIN
73%
3.3%
1
0
0
0
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 15 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
2 of 15
13%
5+ receptions
2 of 15
13%
7+ receptions
1 of 15
7%
50+ receiving yards
3 of 15
20%
75+ receiving yards
1 of 15
7%
100+ receiving yards
0 of 15
0%
Scored a touchdown
3 of 15
20%
Rashod Bateman 2026 stats
Through 6 games of 2026, Rashod Bateman has 16 catches for 233 receiving yards (2.7 catches and 38.8 yards a game), with 1 touchdown, on 69% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (6 games)
2021–2025 (68 games)
Catches per game
2.7
2.5
Receiving yards per game
38.8
33.5
Target share
13.3%
14.5%
Rashod Bateman 2025 stats
In 2025 Rashod Bateman had 19 catches for 224 yards over 13 games, with 2 touchdowns, on 69% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
6 seasons of usage, 2021–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016