6′1″, 206 lb · age 25 · Virginia · 2023 draft, round 5
Week 6 stats
Sun Oct 18, vs CAR: Dontayvion Wicks caught 2 of 4 targets for 24 yards on 62% of snaps.
Stats through week 6; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 6 games this season Dontayvion Wicks is averaging 3.2 receptions and 47 receiving yards on 80% of snaps, against 2.1 receptions and 24 receiving yards over 14 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 8.2 PPR points, WR47 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
8.2
WR47 this week
Receptions
3.3
1.1 above his 2025 average
Receiving yards
34
Anytime TD
17%
He is used both near the goal line and on third down, roles that run slightly ahead of trailing form: +0.12 receptions.
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 1 and 6 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Dontayvion Wicks snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
3.3 projected
26 wk6
CAR
62%
9.1%
4
2
24
0
3.6 -1.6
26 wk5
JAX
84%
21.6%
8
5
63
0
3.6 +1.4
26 wk4
LA
92%
20.0%
5
3
18
0
3.4 -0.4
26 wk3
CHI
88%
20.0%
5
2
32
0
3.0 -1.0
26 wk2
TEN
62%
17.6%
6
5
74
0
—
26 wk1
WAS
91%
18.2%
4
2
73
1
—
25 wk17
BAL
6%
4.0%
1
1
7
0
—
25 wk16
CHI
42%
8.3%
2
2
12
0
—
25 wk15
DEN
42%
5.6%
2
1
6
0
—
25 wk14
CHI
11%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 16 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
4 of 16
25%
5+ receptions
2 of 16
12%
7+ receptions
0 of 16
0%
50+ receiving yards
3 of 16
19%
75+ receiving yards
1 of 16
6%
100+ receiving yards
0 of 16
0%
Scored a touchdown
2 of 16
12%
Dontayvion Wicks 2026 stats
Through 6 games of 2026, Dontayvion Wicks has 19 catches for 284 receiving yards (3.2 catches and 47.3 yards a game), with 1 touchdown, on 80% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (6 games)
2023–2025 (49 games)
Catches per game
3.2
2.3
Receiving yards per game
47.3
28.4
Target share
17.8%
13.3%
Dontayvion Wicks 2025 stats
In 2025 Dontayvion Wicks had 30 catches for 332 yards over 14 games, with 2 touchdowns, on 45% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
4 seasons of usage, 2023–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016