5′8″, 185 lb · age 25 · Liberty · 2023 draft, round 6
Week 6 stats
Sun Oct 18, vs NYJ: DeMario Douglas caught 7 of 8 targets for 86 yards, 1 touchdown on 59% of snaps.
Stats through week 6; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 6 games this season DeMario Douglas is averaging 3.3 receptions and 39 receiving yards on 54% of snaps, against 1.9 receptions and 25 receiving yards over 21 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 8.7 PPR points, WR44 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
8.7
WR44 this week
Receptions
3.0
1.2 above his 2025 average
Receiving yards
40
Anytime TD
27%
He is the third-down option, a role that runs slightly ahead of trailing form: +0.05 receptions.
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 1 and 6 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
DeMario Douglas snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
3.0 projected
26 wk6
NYJ
59%
26.7%
8
7
86
1
2.5 +4.5
26 wk5
LV
49%
16.1%
5
4
65
2
2.7 +1.3
26 wk4
BUF
46%
8.3%
3
2
15
0
2.4 -0.4
26 wk3
JAX
59%
16.7%
5
1
38
0
2.6 -1.6
26 wk2
PIT
47%
9.5%
2
1
9
0
—
26 wk1
SEA
62%
22.6%
7
5
20
0
—
25 wk22
SEA
41%
17.1%
7
5
45
0
—
25 wk21
DEN
19%
5.0%
1
0
0
0
—
25 wk20
HOU
26%
7.7%
2
2
36
1
—
25 wk19
LAC
33%
7.4%
2
1
3
0
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 23 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
7 of 23
30%
5+ receptions
2 of 23
9%
7+ receptions
0 of 23
0%
50+ receiving yards
2 of 23
9%
75+ receiving yards
1 of 23
4%
100+ receiving yards
1 of 23
4%
Scored a touchdown
4 of 23
17%
DeMario Douglas 2026 stats
Through 6 games of 2026, DeMario Douglas has 20 catches for 233 receiving yards (3.3 catches and 38.8 yards a game), with 3 touchdowns, on 54% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (6 games)
2023–2025 (52 games)
Catches per game
3.3
3.0
Receiving yards per game
38.8
32.9
Target share
16.7%
14.2%
DeMario Douglas 2025 stats
In 2025 DeMario Douglas had 39 catches for 531 yards over 21 games, with 4 touchdowns, on 27% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
4 seasons of usage, 2023–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016