6′1″, 205 lb · age 26 · Southeast Missouri State; Iowa Western CC · 2024 draft, round 6
Week 6 stats
Sun Oct 18, at GB: Ryan Flournoy caught 7 of 9 targets for 40 yards, 1 touchdown on 87% of snaps.
Stats through week 6; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 6 games this season Ryan Flournoy is averaging 3.8 receptions and 39 receiving yards on 74% of snaps, against 2.7 receptions and 32 receiving yards over 15 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 9.0 PPR points, WR43 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
9.0
WR43 this week
Receptions
3.6
1.0 above his 2025 average
Receiving yards
37
Anytime TD
28%
He is used near the goal line, a role that runs slightly ahead of trailing form: +0.08 receptions.
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 1 and 7 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Ryan Flournoy snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
3.6 projected
26 wk6
GB
87%
16.7%
9
7
40
1
3.2 +3.8
26 wk5
TB
68%
9.5%
4
3
90
0
3.2 -0.2
26 wk4
HOU
74%
11.6%
5
4
37
0
3.1 +0.9
26 wk3
BAL
66%
20.0%
8
2
22
0
3.3 -1.3
26 wk2
WAS
76%
19.4%
6
5
23
0
—
26 wk1
NYG
71%
13.3%
4
2
22
0
—
25 wk18
NYG
87%
30.4%
7
5
68
0
—
25 wk16
LAC
40%
6.2%
2
2
18
1
—
25 wk15
MIN
64%
14.3%
5
4
40
0
—
25 wk14
DET
65%
27.7%
13
9
115
1
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 17 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
7 of 17
41%
5+ receptions
4 of 17
24%
7+ receptions
1 of 17
6%
50+ receiving yards
3 of 17
18%
75+ receiving yards
2 of 17
12%
100+ receiving yards
2 of 17
12%
Scored a touchdown
4 of 17
24%
Ryan Flournoy 2026 stats
Through 6 games of 2026, Ryan Flournoy has 23 catches for 234 receiving yards (3.8 catches and 39.0 yards a game), with 1 touchdown, on 74% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (6 games)
2024–2025 (26 games)
Catches per game
3.8
1.9
Receiving yards per game
39.0
22.2
Target share
15.1%
7.8%
Ryan Flournoy 2025 stats
In 2025 Ryan Flournoy had 40 catches for 475 yards over 15 games, with 4 touchdowns, on 48% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
3 seasons of usage, 2024–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016