Sun Oct 18, at GB: George Pickens caught 6 of 11 targets for 73 yards on 88% of snaps.
Stats through week 6; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 6 games this season George Pickens is averaging 5.5 receptions and 71 receiving yards on 85% of snaps, against 5.5 receptions and 84 receiving yards over 17 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 15.1 PPR points, WR8 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
15.1
WR8 this week
Receptions
5.7
0.2 above his 2025 average
Receiving yards
75
Anytime TD
33%
He is the third-down option, a role that runs slightly ahead of trailing form: +0.07 receptions.
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 2 and 9 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
George Pickens snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
5.7 projected
26 wk6
GB
88%
20.4%
11
6
73
0
5.2 +0.8
26 wk5
TB
88%
31.0%
13
9
130
1
5.0 +4.0
26 wk4
HOU
86%
7.0%
3
2
75
0
5.3 -3.3
26 wk3
BAL
85%
27.5%
11
7
82
0
5.1 +1.9
26 wk2
WAS
76%
25.8%
8
6
40
0
—
26 wk1
NYG
84%
20.0%
6
3
28
0
—
25 wk18
NYG
45%
13.0%
3
1
9
0
—
25 wk17
WAS
87%
13.9%
5
4
78
0
—
25 wk16
LAC
88%
28.1%
9
7
130
1
—
25 wk15
MIN
86%
17.1%
6
3
33
0
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 19 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
17 of 19
89%
5+ receptions
12 of 19
63%
7+ receptions
6 of 19
32%
50+ receiving yards
13 of 19
68%
75+ receiving yards
10 of 19
53%
100+ receiving yards
5 of 19
26%
Scored a touchdown
8 of 19
42%
George Pickens 2026 stats
Through 6 games of 2026, George Pickens has 33 catches for 428 receiving yards (5.5 catches and 71.3 yards a game), with 1 touchdown, on 85% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (6 games)
2022–2025 (67 games)
Catches per game
5.5
4.1
Receiving yards per game
71.3
65.8
Target share
21.9%
21.8%
George Pickens 2025 stats
In 2025 George Pickens had 93 catches for 1,429 yards over 17 games, with 9 touchdowns, on 81% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
5 seasons of usage, 2022–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016