Sun Oct 18, at GB: CeeDee Lamb caught 9 of 18 targets for 70 yards on 88% of snaps.
Stats through week 6; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 6 games this season CeeDee Lamb is averaging 8.0 receptions and 96 receiving yards on 78% of snaps, against 5.4 receptions and 77 receiving yards over 14 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 16.2 PPR points, WR4 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
16.2
WR4 this week
Receptions
7.0
1.6 above his 2025 average
Receiving yards
65
Anytime TD
45%
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 3 and 11 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
CeeDee Lamb snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
Car
Rush yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
7.0 projected
26 wk6
GB
88%
33.3%
18
9
70
0
0
0
6.5 +2.5
26 wk5
TB
57%
11.9%
5
2
9
0
0
0
6.9 -4.9
26 wk4
HOU
86%
48.8%
21
17
189
1
-6
1
5.4 +11.6
26 wk3
BAL
82%
20.0%
8
7
112
0
0
0
5.2 +1.8
26 wk2
WAS
75%
29.0%
9
8
153
0
0
2
—
26 wk1
NYG
81%
26.7%
8
5
44
1
0
1
—
25 wk18
NYG
45%
4.3%
1
1
4
0
0
0
—
25 wk17
WAS
87%
27.8%
10
5
46
0
0
0
—
25 wk16
LAC
86%
21.9%
7
6
51
0
0
0
—
25 wk15
MIN
86%
28.6%
10
6
111
0
0
0
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 16 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
14 of 16
88%
5+ receptions
13 of 16
81%
7+ receptions
6 of 16
38%
50+ receiving yards
12 of 16
75%
75+ receiving yards
9 of 16
56%
100+ receiving yards
7 of 16
44%
Scored a touchdown
5 of 16
31%
CeeDee Lamb 2026 stats
Through 6 games of 2026, CeeDee Lamb has 48 catches for 577 receiving yards (8.0 catches and 96.2 yards a game), with 4 touchdowns, on 78% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (6 games)
2020–2025 (99 games)
Catches per game
8.0
6.0
Receiving yards per game
96.2
78.1
Target share
28.3%
24.8%
CeeDee Lamb 2025 stats
In 2025 CeeDee Lamb had 75 catches for 1,077 yards over 14 games, with 3 touchdowns, on 73% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
7 seasons of usage, 2020–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016