6′1″, 209 lb · age 30 · Penn State · 2017 draft, round 3
Week 6 stats
Sun Oct 18, vs PIT: Chris Godwin Jr. caught 4 of 8 targets for 37 yards on 92% of snaps.
Stats through week 6; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 6 games this season Chris Godwin Jr. is averaging 3.8 receptions and 36 receiving yards on 84% of snaps, against 3.7 receptions and 40 receiving yards over 9 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 9.0 PPR points, WR40 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
9.0
WR40 this week
Receptions
3.9
0.2 above his 2025 average
Receiving yards
40
Anytime TD
17%
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 1 and 7 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Chris Godwin Jr. snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
Car
Rush yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
3.9 projected
26 wk6
PIT
92%
19.5%
8
4
37
0
0
0
3.9 +0.1
26 wk5
DAL
88%
12.0%
3
3
37
1
3
0
3.7 -0.7
26 wk4
GB
89%
26.9%
7
6
31
0
0
0
3.5 +2.5
26 wk3
MIN
62%
11.4%
4
3
25
0
0
0
3.9 -0.9
26 wk2
CLE
86%
9.1%
3
3
46
1
12
0
—
26 wk1
CIN
86%
14.8%
4
4
40
1
3
0
—
25 wk18
CAR
70%
4.5%
1
1
8
0
0
0
—
25 wk17
MIA
79%
18.2%
8
7
108
0
0
1
—
25 wk16
CAR
64%
24.0%
6
5
30
0
0
0
—
25 wk15
ATL
96%
15.6%
5
4
20
0
0
1
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 11 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
9 of 11
82%
5+ receptions
3 of 11
27%
7+ receptions
1 of 11
9%
50+ receiving yards
3 of 11
27%
75+ receiving yards
2 of 11
18%
100+ receiving yards
1 of 11
9%
Scored a touchdown
2 of 11
18%
Chris Godwin Jr. 2026 stats
Through 6 games of 2026, Chris Godwin Jr. has 23 catches for 216 receiving yards (3.8 catches and 36.0 yards a game), on 84% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (6 games)
2017–2025 (127 games)
Catches per game
3.8
5.1
Receiving yards per game
36.0
63.2
Target share
15.6%
19.6%
Chris Godwin Jr. 2025 stats
In 2025 Chris Godwin Jr. had 33 catches for 360 yards over 9 games, with 2 touchdowns, on 71% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
10 seasons of usage, 2017–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016