6′1″, 192 lb · age 24 · Washington · 2024 draft, round 3
Jalen McMillan is on reserve / ir and cannot play. Roster status as of the week-7 roster, which persists until he is activated, so no week-7 projection is produced for him. His usage and history are below. See the rest of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers room →
Week 3 stats
Sun Sep 27, vs MIN: Jalen McMillan was targeted once without a catch on 3% of snaps.
Stats through week 3. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Jalen McMillan has no full prior season to anchor to, so this week’s projection leans on his 2 games of current-season usage alone — treat it as a thinner read than a veteran’s.
Jalen McMillan snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
Car
Rush yds
TD
We said
26 wk3
MIN
3%
2.9%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0.8 -0.8
26 wk2
CLE
11%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
—
25 wk18
CAR
55%
4.5%
1
1
11
0
0
0
—
25 wk17
MIA
52%
20.5%
9
7
114
0
0
0
—
25 wk16
CAR
53%
12.0%
3
2
15
1
1
0
—
25 wk15
ATL
46%
6.2%
2
2
38
0
0
0
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 5 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
1 of 5
20%
5+ receptions
1 of 5
20%
7+ receptions
1 of 5
20%
50+ receiving yards
1 of 5
20%
75+ receiving yards
1 of 5
20%
100+ receiving yards
1 of 5
20%
Scored a touchdown
0 of 5
0%
Jalen McMillan 2026 stats
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (2 games)
2024–2025 (18 games)
Catches per game
0.0
2.8
Receiving yards per game
0.0
37.8
Target share
1.4%
13.4%
Jalen McMillan 2025 stats
In 2025 Jalen McMillan had 12 catches for 178 yards over 4 games, on 52% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
3 seasons of usage, 2024–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016