6′1″, 205 lb · age 24 · Ohio State · 2025 draft, round 1
Week 6 stats
Sun Oct 18, vs PIT: Emeka Egbuka caught 7 of 16 targets for 48 yards, 1 touchdown on 86% of snaps.
Stats through week 6; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 6 games this season Emeka Egbuka is averaging 4.7 receptions and 40 receiving yards on 86% of snaps, against 3.7 receptions and 55 receiving yards over 17 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 12.7 PPR points, WR19 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
12.7
WR19 this week
Receptions
4.5
0.7 above his 2025 average
Receiving yards
57
Anytime TD
42%
He is the third-down option, a role that runs slightly ahead of trailing form: +0.05 receptions.
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 1 and 8 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Emeka Egbuka snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
Car
Rush yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
4.5 projected
26 wk6
PIT
86%
39.0%
16
7
48
0
0
1
4.2 +2.8
26 wk5
DAL
89%
36.0%
9
6
38
1
14
1
3.9 +2.1
26 wk4
GB
94%
15.4%
4
2
13
0
0
0
4.0 -2.0
26 wk3
MIN
74%
25.7%
9
5
62
0
0
0
4.0 +1.0
26 wk2
CLE
86%
15.2%
5
3
16
1
-3
1
—
26 wk1
CIN
86%
22.2%
6
5
63
0
0
0
—
25 wk18
CAR
58%
13.6%
3
1
8
0
0
0
—
25 wk17
MIA
58%
11.4%
5
3
20
0
0
0
—
25 wk16
CAR
56%
8.0%
2
1
40
0
0
0
—
25 wk15
ATL
64%
21.9%
7
4
64
0
0
0
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 19 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
15 of 19
79%
5+ receptions
5 of 19
26%
7+ receptions
1 of 19
5%
50+ receiving yards
8 of 19
42%
75+ receiving yards
4 of 19
21%
100+ receiving yards
3 of 19
16%
Scored a touchdown
6 of 19
32%
Emeka Egbuka 2026 stats
Through 6 games of 2026, Emeka Egbuka has 28 catches for 240 receiving yards (4.7 catches and 40.0 yards a game), with 3 touchdowns, on 86% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (6 games)
2025–2025 (17 games)
Catches per game
4.7
3.7
Receiving yards per game
40.0
55.2
Target share
25.6%
23.6%
Emeka Egbuka 2025 stats
In 2025 Emeka Egbuka had 63 catches for 938 yards over 17 games, with 6 touchdowns, on 78% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
2 seasons of usage, 2025–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016