Ted Hurst III

Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Wide receiverWR3

6′3″, 195 lb · age 22 · Georgia State; Valdosta State · 2026 draft, round 3

Week 6 stats

Sun Oct 18, vs PIT: Ted Hurst III caught 3 of 6 targets for 40 yards on 50% of snaps.

Stats through week 6; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.

Ted Hurst III has no full prior season to anchor to, so this week’s projection leans on his 5 games of current-season usage alone — treat it as a thinner read than a veteran’s.

Week 7 projection

PPR points

5.5

WR67 this week

Receptions

2.0

Receiving yards

Anytime TD

13%

He is used both near the goal line and on third down, roles that run slightly ahead of trailing form: +0.11 receptions.

What a realistic week looks like

The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 4 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.

Ted Hurst III snap share, game by game

Snap shareTarget share

Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.

Game log

Game	Opp	Snap share	Target share	Tgt	Rec	Rec yds	TD	We said
26 wk7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	2.0 projected
26 wk6	PIT	50%	14.6%	6	3	40	0	1.7 +1.3
26 wk5	DAL	46%	0.0%	0	0	0	0	2.0 -2.0
26 wk4	GB	40%	11.5%	3	2	25	0	2.2 -0.2
26 wk3	MIN	75%	8.6%	3	1	40	1	2.7 -1.7
26 wk2	CLE	74%	21.2%	7	2	27	0	—
26 wk1	CIN	75%	11.1%	3	3	36	0	—

“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.

Ted Hurst III 2026 stats

Through 6 games of 2026, Ted Hurst III has 11 catches for 168 receiving yards (1.8 catches and 28.0 yards a game), with 1 touchdown, on 60% of snaps.

His first season in the warehouse, so there is no prior year to compare against and no career arc to draw — the projection leans on the league's rookies rather than on him.

	2026 so far (6 games)
Catches per game	1.8
Receiving yards per game	28.0
Target share	11.2%

The whole Tampa Bay Buccaneers roomEvery pass-catcher ranked by the usage that predicts production

Related players

The rest of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers receiver room, by target share.

Ranked next to him at WR for week 7.

Dohnte Meyers WR64 · CIN
Laquon Treadwell WR65 · IND
Marvin Harrison Jr. WR66 · HOU
Isaiah Williams WR68 · NYJ
Jerry Jeudy WR69 · CLE
Kevin Coleman Jr. WR70 · MIA

What we have measured about wide receivers

Are players better coming off a bye week?They are slightly worse Do defenses shut down the other team’s best receiver?Barely

Projections are as-of-week with no lookahead · usage from official play-by-play and snap counts · 2026 week 7