Sun Oct 18, vs TEN: Laquon Treadwell caught 2 of 5 targets for 21 yards on 93% of snaps.
Stats through week 6; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 6 games this season Laquon Treadwell is averaging 2.2 receptions and 30 receiving yards on 74% of snaps, against 0.0 receptions and 0 receiving yards over 9 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 5.5 PPR points, WR65 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
5.5
WR65 this week
Receptions
2.4
Receiving yards
26
Anytime TD
10%
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 5 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Laquon Treadwell snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
2.4 projected
26 wk6
TEN
93%
13.2%
5
2
21
0
2.3 -0.3
26 wk5
PIT
80%
18.6%
8
2
34
0
1.6 +0.4
26 wk4
WAS
85%
20.7%
6
5
42
0
1.6 +3.4
26 wk3
HOU
79%
2.9%
1
1
20
0
1.1 -0.1
26 wk2
KC
74%
10.0%
3
3
61
0
—
26 wk1
BAL
35%
3.4%
1
0
0
0
—
25 wk18
HOU
8%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
—
25 wk17
JAX
2%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
—
25 wk16
SF
7%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
—
25 wk15
SEA
7%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 11 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
1 of 11
9%
5+ receptions
0 of 11
0%
7+ receptions
0 of 11
0%
50+ receiving yards
1 of 11
9%
75+ receiving yards
0 of 11
0%
100+ receiving yards
0 of 11
0%
Scored a touchdown
0 of 11
0%
Laquon Treadwell 2026 stats
Through 6 games of 2026, Laquon Treadwell has 13 catches for 178 receiving yards (2.2 catches and 29.7 yards a game), on 74% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (6 games)
2016–2025 (92 games)
Catches per game
2.2
1.2
Receiving yards per game
29.7
13.5
Target share
11.5%
5.6%
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
11 seasons of usage, 2016–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016