6′2″, 211 lb · age 34 · California · 2013 draft, round 3
Week 6 stats
Sun Oct 18, vs TEN: Keenan Allen caught 8 of 11 targets for 82 yards on 71% of snaps.
Stats through week 6; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 5 games this season Keenan Allen is averaging 5.2 receptions and 45 receiving yards on 61% of snaps, against 4.7 receptions and 45 receiving yards over 18 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 10.0 PPR points, WR34 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
10.0
WR34 this week
Receptions
4.6
0.1 below his 2025 average
Receiving yards
40
Anytime TD
27%
He is the third-down option, a role that runs slightly ahead of trailing form: +0.05 receptions.
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 2 and 8 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Keenan Allen snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
4.6 projected
26 wk6
TEN
71%
28.9%
11
8
82
0
3.9 +4.1
26 wk5
PIT
45%
20.9%
9
5
45
0
3.5 +1.5
26 wk3
HOU
73%
25.7%
9
6
63
1
4.0 +2.0
26 wk2
KC
51%
16.7%
5
1
5
0
—
26 wk1
BAL
67%
20.7%
6
6
32
0
—
25 wk19
NE
60%
26.7%
8
3
25
0
—
25 wk18
DEN
54%
34.2%
13
7
36
0
—
25 wk17
HOU
57%
9.7%
3
1
17
0
—
25 wk16
DAL
47%
17.9%
5
5
44
0
—
25 wk15
KC
42%
26.9%
7
5
36
0
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 20 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
16 of 20
80%
5+ receptions
10 of 20
50%
7+ receptions
4 of 20
20%
50+ receiving yards
6 of 20
30%
75+ receiving yards
1 of 20
5%
100+ receiving yards
1 of 20
5%
Scored a touchdown
4 of 20
20%
Keenan Allen 2026 stats
Through 5 games of 2026, Keenan Allen has 26 catches for 227 receiving yards (5.2 catches and 45.4 yards a game), with 1 touchdown, on 61% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (5 games)
2016–2025 (138 games)
Catches per game
5.2
6.2
Receiving yards per game
45.4
70.3
Target share
22.6%
26.1%
Keenan Allen 2025 stats
In 2025 Keenan Allen had 84 catches for 802 yards over 18 games, with 4 touchdowns, on 56% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
11 seasons of usage, 2016–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016