Sun Oct 18, vs BUF: Tre Tucker caught 5 of 7 targets for 97 yards, 2 touchdowns on 70% of snaps.
Stats through week 6; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 6 games this season Tre Tucker is averaging 4.0 receptions and 62 receiving yards on 66% of snaps, against 3.4 receptions and 41 receiving yards over 17 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 10.0 PPR points, WR35 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
10.0
WR35 this week
Receptions
3.9
0.6 above his 2025 average
Receiving yards
40
Anytime TD
27%
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 1 and 7 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Tre Tucker snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
Car
Rush yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
3.9 projected
26 wk6
BUF
70%
17.9%
7
5
97
0
0
2
3.5 +1.5
26 wk5
NE
75%
13.9%
5
4
41
2
-6
0
3.7 +0.3
26 wk4
KC
67%
16.7%
8
4
44
0
0
0
3.2 +0.8
26 wk3
NO
57%
13.3%
4
4
43
0
0
0
3.4 +0.6
26 wk2
LAC
59%
24.1%
7
5
119
0
0
1
—
26 wk1
MIA
71%
13.8%
4
2
27
0
0
0
—
25 wk18
KC
98%
23.1%
6
2
30
1
4
0
—
25 wk17
NYG
100%
21.4%
6
5
49
2
0
0
—
25 wk16
HOU
100%
22.7%
5
4
43
2
11
0
—
25 wk15
PHI
93%
12.0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 19 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
12 of 19
63%
5+ receptions
5 of 19
26%
7+ receptions
1 of 19
5%
50+ receiving yards
5 of 19
26%
75+ receiving yards
2 of 19
11%
100+ receiving yards
2 of 19
11%
Scored a touchdown
4 of 19
21%
Tre Tucker 2026 stats
Through 6 games of 2026, Tre Tucker has 24 catches for 371 receiving yards (4.0 catches and 61.8 yards a game), with 3 touchdowns, on 66% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (6 games)
2023–2025 (50 games)
Catches per game
4.0
2.5
Receiving yards per game
61.8
31.3
Target share
16.6%
13.2%
Tre Tucker 2025 stats
In 2025 Tre Tucker had 57 catches for 696 yards over 17 games, with 5 touchdowns, on 95% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
4 seasons of usage, 2023–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016