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Ashton Dulin

Indianapolis Colts · Wide receiverWR3

6′2″, 215 lb · age 29 · Malone

Week 4 stats

Sun Oct 4, at WAS: Ashton Dulin caught 3 of 6 targets for 29 yards on 35% of snaps.

Stats through week 4; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.

Through 2 games this season Ashton Dulin is averaging 1.5 receptions and 14 receiving yards on 27% of snaps, against 0.4 receptions and 9 receiving yards over 12 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 3.7 PPR points, WR92 this week.

Week 7 projection

PPR points
3.7
WR92 this week
Receptions
1.1
0.7 above his 2025 average
Receiving yards
26
Returning from a missed week. Players in their first game back come in about a third of a reception below recent form, so this projection is held down rather than reading his last line straight across.

What a realistic week looks like

40%031%117%28%345678910111213Receptions
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 3 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.

Ashton Dulin snap share, game by game

Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.

Game log

GameOppSnap shareTarget shareTgtRecRec ydsCarRush ydsTDWe said
26 wk7—————————1.1 projected
26 wk4WAS35%20.7%63290000.2 +2.8
26 wk1BAL19%3.4%100000—
25 wk18HOU37%6.1%200000—
25 wk17JAX12%0.0%000000—
25 wk12KC18%3.2%1148000—
25 wk10ATL19%0.0%0001220—
25 wk9PIT8%0.0%000000—
25 wk8TEN25%3.6%11-8000—
25 wk6ARI2%0.0%000000—
25 wk5LV71%16.1%5255000—

“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.

How often he has actually done it

Rates over his last 13 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.

OutcomeGames it happenedHow often
3+ receptions0 of 130%
5+ receptions0 of 130%
7+ receptions0 of 130%
50+ receiving yards1 of 138%
75+ receiving yards0 of 130%
100+ receiving yards0 of 130%
Scored a touchdown0 of 130%

Ashton Dulin 2026 stats

Through 2 games of 2026, Ashton Dulin has 3 catches for 29 receiving yards (1.5 catches and 14.5 yards a game), on 27% of snaps.

Against the rest of his career

2026 so far (2 games)2019–2025 (81 games)
Catches per game1.50.5
Receiving yards per game14.57.7
Target share12.1%2.8%

Ashton Dulin 2025 stats

In 2025 Ashton Dulin had 5 catches for 106 yards over 12 games, on 21% of snaps.

Season by season

Ashton Dulin: snap share and target share by season0204060801002019202020212022202420252026Snap shareTarget shareSeasonshare of the team
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Ashton Dulin: targets and catches per game by season0123452019202020212022202420252026TargetsCatchesSeason
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Ashton Dulin: yards per game by season051015201.520193.8202010.2202117.220224.520248.8202514.52026
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
Ashton Dulin: touchdowns per game by season00.050.10.150.0020190.0020200.1220210.0820220.0720240.0020250.002026
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.

7 seasons of usage, 2019–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016

The whole Indianapolis Colts roomEvery pass-catcher ranked by the usage that predicts production

Related players

The rest of the Indianapolis Colts receiver room, by target share.

Ranked next to him at WR for week 7.

What we have measured about wide receivers

Are players better coming off a bye week?They are slightly worseDo defenses shut down the other team’s best receiver?Barely

Projections are as-of-week with no lookahead · usage from official play-by-play and snap counts · 2026 week 7