Sun Oct 18, at NE: Isaiah Williams played 15% of snaps without a touch.
Stats through week 6; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 6 games this season Isaiah Williams is averaging 1.8 receptions and 25 receiving yards on 67% of snaps, against 1.7 receptions and 13 receiving yards over 15 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 5.2 PPR points, WR68 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
5.2
WR68 this week
Receptions
1.9
0.2 above his 2025 average
Receiving yards
26
Anytime TD
14%
He is the third-down option, a role that runs slightly ahead of trailing form: +0.05 receptions.
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 4 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Isaiah Williams snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
Car
Rush yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
1.9 projected
26 wk6
NE
15%
0.0%
0
0
0
1
4
0
2.7 -2.7
26 wk5
CLE
61%
6.9%
2
1
16
1
3
0
3.2 -2.2
26 wk4
CHI
94%
20.0%
3
2
73
0
0
1
3.1 -1.1
26 wk3
DET
89%
5.6%
2
1
21
0
0
0
2.5 -1.5
26 wk2
GB
82%
16.7%
6
6
34
1
14
0
—
26 wk1
TEN
60%
4.3%
1
1
7
0
0
0
—
25 wk18
BUF
52%
31.8%
7
5
24
0
0
0
—
25 wk17
NE
69%
15.6%
5
4
30
1
5
0
—
25 wk16
NO
77%
11.8%
4
4
25
0
0
0
—
25 wk15
JAX
60%
21.9%
7
6
53
0
0
0
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 17 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
6 of 17
35%
5+ receptions
3 of 17
18%
7+ receptions
0 of 17
0%
50+ receiving yards
1 of 17
6%
75+ receiving yards
0 of 17
0%
100+ receiving yards
0 of 17
0%
Scored a touchdown
0 of 17
0%
Isaiah Williams 2026 stats
Through 6 games of 2026, Isaiah Williams has 11 catches for 151 receiving yards (1.8 catches and 25.2 yards a game), with 1 touchdown, on 67% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (6 games)
2024–2025 (23 games)
Catches per game
1.8
1.2
Receiving yards per game
25.2
8.7
Target share
8.9%
6.4%
Isaiah Williams 2025 stats
In 2025 Isaiah Williams had 26 catches for 193 yards over 15 games, on 49% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
3 seasons of usage, 2024–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016