5′11″, 190 lb · age 23 · Washington State · 2025 draft, round 3
Week 6 stats
Sun Oct 18, vs NYJ: Kyle Williams caught 1 of 1 target for 12 yards on 37% of snaps.
Stats through week 6; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 6 games this season Kyle Williams is averaging 1.0 receptions and 24 receiving yards on 28% of snaps, against 0.6 receptions and 11 receiving yards over 21 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 4.9 PPR points, WR74 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
4.9
WR74 this week
Receptions
1.6
1.0 above his 2025 average
Receiving yards
24
Anytime TD
14%
He is the third-down option, a role that runs slightly ahead of trailing form: +0.05 receptions.
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 4 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Kyle Williams snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
1.6 projected
26 wk6
NYJ
37%
3.3%
1
1
12
0
1.0 -0.0
26 wk5
LV
36%
9.7%
3
3
91
1
1.0 +2.0
26 wk4
BUF
25%
5.6%
2
0
0
0
0.8 -0.8
26 wk3
JAX
35%
10.0%
3
1
34
0
0.6 +0.4
26 wk2
PIT
20%
9.5%
2
1
10
0
—
26 wk1
SEA
17%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
—
25 wk22
SEA
24%
4.9%
2
1
7
0
—
25 wk21
DEN
23%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
—
25 wk20
HOU
34%
11.5%
3
0
0
0
—
25 wk19
LAC
33%
3.7%
1
1
7
0
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 23 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
1 of 23
4%
5+ receptions
0 of 23
0%
7+ receptions
0 of 23
0%
50+ receiving yards
1 of 23
4%
75+ receiving yards
0 of 23
0%
100+ receiving yards
0 of 23
0%
Scored a touchdown
3 of 23
13%
Kyle Williams 2026 stats
Through 6 games of 2026, Kyle Williams has 6 catches for 147 receiving yards (1.0 catches and 24.5 yards a game), with 1 touchdown, on 28% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (6 games)
2025–2025 (21 games)
Catches per game
1.0
0.6
Receiving yards per game
24.5
10.6
Target share
6.3%
4.3%
Kyle Williams 2025 stats
In 2025 Kyle Williams had 12 catches for 223 yards over 21 games, with 3 touchdowns, on 30% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
2 seasons of usage, 2025–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016