Sun Oct 11, at NO: Jauan Jennings was targeted once without a catch on 69% of snaps.
Stats through week 5; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 4 games this season Jauan Jennings is averaging 0.5 receptions and 2 receiving yards on 73% of snaps, against 3.4 receptions and 42 receiving yards over 17 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 5.1 PPR points, WR72 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
5.1
WR72 this week
Receptions
2.2
1.2 below his 2025 average
Receiving yards
23
Anytime TD
8%
He is used both near the goal line and on third down, roles that run slightly ahead of trailing form: +0.11 receptions.
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 5 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Jauan Jennings snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
2.2 projected
26 wk5
NO
69%
3.4%
1
0
0
0
1.9 -1.9
26 wk4
MIA
95%
3.0%
1
1
8
0
2.7 -1.7
26 wk3
TB
80%
8.0%
2
1
1
0
1.6 -0.6
26 wk1
GB
48%
4.3%
1
0
0
0
—
25 wk20
SEA
78%
18.5%
5
2
23
0
—
25 wk19
PHI
97%
10.0%
3
1
45
0
—
25 wk18
SEA
88%
22.2%
6
4
35
0
—
25 wk17
CHI
90%
12.1%
4
2
42
1
—
25 wk16
IND
82%
18.2%
6
5
71
1
—
25 wk15
TEN
81%
17.9%
5
3
37
2
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 18 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
11 of 18
61%
5+ receptions
4 of 18
22%
7+ receptions
0 of 18
0%
50+ receiving yards
4 of 18
22%
75+ receiving yards
1 of 18
6%
100+ receiving yards
0 of 18
0%
Scored a touchdown
8 of 18
44%
Jauan Jennings 2026 stats
Through 4 games of 2026, Jauan Jennings has 2 catches for 9 receiving yards (0.5 catches and 2.2 yards a game), on 73% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (4 games)
2021–2025 (86 games)
Catches per game
0.5
2.7
Receiving yards per game
2.2
33.4
Target share
4.7%
14.6%
Jauan Jennings 2025 stats
In 2025 Jauan Jennings had 58 catches for 711 yards over 17 games, with 9 touchdowns, on 83% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
6 seasons of usage, 2021–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016