Caleb Douglas

Miami Dolphins · Wide receiverWR3

6′4″, 208 lb · age 23 · Texas Tech; Florida · 2026 draft, round 3

Week 2 stats

Sun Sep 20, at SF: Caleb Douglas caught 2 of 3 targets for 19 yards on 86% of snaps.

Stats through week 2; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.

Caleb Douglas has no full prior season to anchor to, so this week’s projection leans on his 1 game of current-season usage alone — treat it as a thinner read than a veteran’s.

Week 7 projection

PPR points

1.7

WR128 this week

Receptions

1.8

Returning from a missed week. Players in their first game back come in about a third of a reception below recent form, so this projection is held down rather than reading his last line straight across.

What a realistic week looks like

The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 4 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.

Game log

Game	Opp	Snap share	Target share	Tgt	Rec	Rec yds	TD	We said
26 wk7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.8 projected
26 wk2	SF	86%	13.0%	3	2	19	0	—
26 wk1	LV	91%	25.9%	7	5	94	0	—

“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.

Caleb Douglas 2026 stats

Through 2 games of 2026, Caleb Douglas has 7 catches for 113 receiving yards (3.5 catches and 56.5 yards a game), on 88% of snaps.

His first season in the warehouse, so there is no prior year to compare against and no career arc to draw — the projection leans on the league's rookies rather than on him.

	2026 so far (2 games)
Catches per game	3.5
Receiving yards per game	56.5
Target share	19.5%

The whole Miami Dolphins roomEvery pass-catcher ranked by the usage that predicts production

Related players

The rest of the Miami Dolphins receiver room, by target share.

Ranked next to him at WR for week 7.

David Moore WR125 · CAR
Alex Bachman WR126 · LA
Brandon Smith WR127 · PIT
Charlie Jones WR129 · NYG
Cyrus Allen WR130 · KC
Malik Turner WR131 · SF

What we have measured about wide receivers

Are players better coming off a bye week?They are slightly worse Do defenses shut down the other team’s best receiver?Barely

Projections are as-of-week with no lookahead · usage from official play-by-play and snap counts · 2026 week 7