6′5″, 256 lb · age 31 · South Dakota State · 2018 draft, round 2
Week 6 stats
Sun Oct 18, vs CAR: Dallas Goedert caught 6 of 8 targets for 61 yards on 81% of snaps.
Stats through week 6; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 4 games this season Dallas Goedert is averaging 4.2 receptions and 45 receiving yards on 68% of snaps, against 4.0 receptions and 39 receiving yards over 16 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 8.3 PPR points, TE20 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
8.3
TE20 this week
Receptions
3.8
0.2 below his 2025 average
Receiving yards
32
Anytime TD
20%
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 1 and 7 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Dallas Goedert snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
Car
Rush yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
3.8 projected
26 wk6
CAR
81%
18.2%
8
6
61
0
0
0
3.6 +2.4
26 wk5
JAX
69%
24.3%
9
6
38
0
0
0
3.5 +2.5
26 wk2
TEN
25%
5.9%
2
1
4
0
0
0
—
26 wk1
WAS
95%
22.7%
5
4
77
0
0
2
—
25 wk19
SF
92%
20.6%
7
4
33
1
1
2
—
25 wk17
BUF
80%
27.3%
6
3
8
0
0
1
—
25 wk16
WAS
87%
10.3%
3
3
32
0
0
1
—
25 wk15
LV
74%
38.9%
7
6
70
0
0
2
—
25 wk14
LAC
93%
26.3%
10
8
78
0
0
0
—
25 wk13
CHI
89%
13.3%
4
2
27
0
0
0
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 18 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
13 of 18
72%
5+ receptions
4 of 18
22%
7+ receptions
3 of 18
17%
50+ receiving yards
4 of 18
22%
75+ receiving yards
3 of 18
17%
100+ receiving yards
1 of 18
6%
Scored a touchdown
10 of 18
56%
Dallas Goedert 2026 stats
Through 4 games of 2026, Dallas Goedert has 17 catches for 180 receiving yards (4.2 catches and 45.0 yards a game), with 2 touchdowns, on 68% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (4 games)
2018–2025 (121 games)
Catches per game
4.2
3.8
Receiving yards per game
45.0
43.6
Target share
17.8%
17.7%
Dallas Goedert 2025 stats
In 2025 Dallas Goedert had 64 catches for 624 yards over 16 games, with 13 touchdowns, on 85% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
9 seasons of usage, 2018–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016