Sun Oct 18, vs CAR: Johnny Mundt caught 1 of 1 target for 4 yards on 30% of snaps.
Stats through week 6; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 6 games this season Johnny Mundt is averaging 0.7 receptions and 3 receiving yards on 49% of snaps, against 0.5 receptions and 7 receiving yards over 17 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 2.3 PPR points, TE60 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
2.3
TE60 this week
Receptions
0.9
0.3 above his 2025 average
Receiving yards
8
Anytime TD
9%
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 2 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Johnny Mundt snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
0.9 projected
26 wk6
CAR
30%
2.3%
1
1
4
0
0.8 +0.2
26 wk5
JAX
32%
2.7%
1
0
0
0
1.2 -1.2
26 wk4
LA
80%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
1.9 -1.9
26 wk3
CHI
52%
4.0%
1
1
4
0
1.6 -0.6
26 wk2
TEN
64%
8.8%
3
2
8
0
—
26 wk1
WAS
36%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
—
25 wk19
BUF
23%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
—
25 wk18
TEN
31%
3.2%
1
1
16
0
—
25 wk17
IND
25%
2.7%
1
0
0
0
—
25 wk16
DEN
36%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 19 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
0 of 19
0%
5+ receptions
0 of 19
0%
7+ receptions
0 of 19
0%
50+ receiving yards
0 of 19
0%
75+ receiving yards
0 of 19
0%
100+ receiving yards
0 of 19
0%
Scored a touchdown
0 of 19
0%
Johnny Mundt 2026 stats
Through 6 games of 2026, Johnny Mundt has 4 catches for 16 receiving yards (0.7 catches and 2.7 yards a game), on 49% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (6 games)
2017–2025 (114 games)
Catches per game
0.7
0.7
Receiving yards per game
2.7
6.1
Target share
3.0%
2.9%
Johnny Mundt 2025 stats
In 2025 Johnny Mundt had 9 catches for 111 yards over 17 games, on 35% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
10 seasons of usage, 2017–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016