Thu Oct 15, at DEN: Eric Saubert was targeted once without a catch on 19% of snaps.
Stats through week 6; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 6 games this season Eric Saubert is averaging 0.3 receptions and 0 receiving yards on 26% of snaps, against 0.3 receptions and 2 receiving yards over 14 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 2.3 PPR points, TE59 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
2.3
TE59 this week
Receptions
0.7
0.4 above his 2025 average
Receiving yards
6
Anytime TD
16%
He is used near the goal line, a role that runs slightly ahead of trailing form: +0.11 receptions.
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 2 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Eric Saubert snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
0.7 projected
26 wk6
DEN
19%
2.2%
1
0
0
0
0.5 -0.5
26 wk5
SF
35%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0.4 -0.4
26 wk4
LAC
30%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0.5 -0.5
26 wk3
WAS
27%
4.4%
2
1
13
1
0.2 +0.8
26 wk2
ARI
24%
3.8%
1
1
-10
0
—
26 wk1
NE
20%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
—
25 wk22
NE
44%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
—
25 wk21
LA
57%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
—
25 wk20
SF
47%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
—
25 wk18
SF
70%
11.5%
3
2
10
0
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 16 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
0 of 16
0%
5+ receptions
0 of 16
0%
7+ receptions
0 of 16
0%
50+ receiving yards
0 of 16
0%
75+ receiving yards
0 of 16
0%
100+ receiving yards
0 of 16
0%
Scored a touchdown
0 of 16
0%
Eric Saubert 2026 stats
Through 6 games of 2026, Eric Saubert has 2 catches for 3 receiving yards (0.3 catches and 0.5 yards a game), with 1 touchdown, on 26% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (6 games)
2017–2025 (110 games)
Catches per game
0.3
0.5
Receiving yards per game
0.5
3.8
Target share
1.7%
2.1%
Eric Saubert 2025 stats
In 2025 Eric Saubert had 4 catches for 31 yards over 14 games, on 42% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
10 seasons of usage, 2017–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016