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Tyler Warren injury: status, history and who gets his targets if he is out

Indianapolis Colts · Tight end · status this week: QUESTIONABLE (ESPN)

Checked Oct 21, 2026.

Over his 1 full season on record, Tyler Warren played 17 of 17 regular-season games (100%), and 5 of 6 so far in 2026. Season by season.

The Indianapolis Colts room absorbs +2.99 receptions, and Andrew Ogletree takes the largest single share at +0.77. The work stays overwhelmingly inside the tight end room.

Where the work goes

Change in projected receptions for every other player in the offense. The bars are small on purpose — a vacated role is shared out, and any tool showing one replacement absorbing a whole target load is telling you something the data does not support.

Receptions gained if Tyler Warren sitsAndrew Ogletree+0.8TE 30% snapsWill Mallory+0.7TE 52% snapsPharaoh Brown+0.6TE 5% snapsMo Alie-Cox+0.4TE 40% snapsKeenan Allen+0.1WR 60% snapsJosh Downs+0.1WR 80% snapsLaquon Treadwell+0.1WR 82% snapsAlec Pierce+0.1WR 26% snapsAshton Dulin+0.1WR 35% snapsDeion Burks+0.1WR 14% snapsAnthony Gould+0.1WR 1% snapschange in projected receptions

Every player in the room

PlayerCatches nowIf he sitsChange
Tyler Warren TE · 90% snaps5.20—OUT
Keenan Allen WR · 60% snaps4.604.67+0.07
Josh Downs WR · 80% snaps4.204.27+0.07
Laquon Treadwell WR · 82% snaps2.402.47+0.07
Jonathan Taylor RB · 80% snaps2.302.30+0.00
Alec Pierce WR · 26% snaps2.002.07+0.07
Will Mallory TE · 52% snaps1.902.57+0.67
Ashton Dulin WR · 35% snaps1.101.17+0.07
Mo Alie-Cox TE · 40% snaps1.101.52+0.42
Deion Burks WR · 14% snaps0.800.87+0.07
Seth McGowan RB · 20% snaps0.600.60+0.00
Andrew Ogletree TE · 30% snaps0.200.97+0.77
Anthony Gould WR · 1% snaps0.200.27+0.07
Pharaoh Brown TE · 5% snaps0.100.74+0.64

Injury history

Over his 1 full season on record, Tyler Warren played 17 of 17 regular-season games (100%), and 5 of 6 so far in 2026.

SeasonTeamPlayedMissedListed outQuestionableInjuries listed
2026IND5 of 6101Groin
2025IND17 of 17002Illness, Toe

Regular season only. Games played counts games with at least one offensive snap; designations are from the official weekly injury report, which does not list players on injured reserve, so a long absence shows as missed games rather than as weeks listed out.

What the data says happens

Measured across every regular-season game from 2018 onward, each beneficiary compared against his own trailing four-game form and net of what the same players do in weeks the room’s number one actually plays.

When a team’s number-one tight end does not play, what each position group gains:

RoomReceptions gainednt
Receivers+0.1072,1602.29
Tight ends+0.4921,0249.57
Backs-0.0451,259-0.92

The room total is predictable. Which player takes it is not. Every candidate predictor of who gains — pecking order, snap share, route depth, trailing targets — correlates at roughly r = 0.02. In any single week one player usually takes about 60% of what was vacated; it is simply not predictably the same one.

Tyler Warren’s full stats and usageSnap share, target share, game log and this week’s projection

Cascade effects 2018–2026, paired within player, net of control · projections as-of-week with no lookahead · 2026 week 7