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Tetairoa McMillan injury: status, history and who gets his targets if he is out

Carolina Panthers · Wide receiver · status this week: not on the week 7 injury report (week 7 report, captured Wed 21 Oct, 6:15am)

Checked Oct 21, 2026.

Over his 1 full season on record, Tetairoa McMillan played 17 of 17 regular-season games (100%), and 5 of 5 so far in 2026. Season by season.

The Carolina Panthers room absorbs +5.18 receptions, and Brycen Tremayne takes the largest single share at +0.78. The work stays overwhelmingly inside the wide receiver room.

Where the work goes

Change in projected receptions for every other player in the offense. The bars are small on purpose — a vacated role is shared out, and any tool showing one replacement absorbing a whole target load is telling you something the data does not support.

Receptions gained if Tetairoa McMillan sitsBrycen Tremayne+0.8WR 55% snapsJohn Metchie III+0.8WR 34% snapsDavid Moore+0.6WR 3% snapsJa'Seem Reed+0.6WR 13% snapsJalen Coker+0.6WR 62% snapsXavier Legette+0.5WR 50% snapsTommy Tremble+0.2TE 56% snapsDarren Waller+0.1TE 48% snapsMitchell Evans+0.1TE 50% snapsFeleipe Franks+0.1TE 6% snapsChuba Hubbard+0.1RB 82% snapsJonathon Brooks+0.1RB 30% snapsAJ Dillon+0.1RB 12% snapsTrevor Etienne+0.1RB 4% snapschange in projected receptions

Every player in the room

PlayerCatches nowIf he sitsChange
Tetairoa McMillan WR · 85% snaps4.90—OUT
Jalen Coker WR · 62% snaps4.004.60+0.60
Darren Waller TE · 48% snaps2.702.85+0.15
Tommy Tremble TE · 56% snaps2.602.76+0.16
Chuba Hubbard RB · 82% snaps2.202.33+0.13
Xavier Legette WR · 50% snaps2.002.51+0.51
Mitchell Evans TE · 50% snaps1.601.75+0.15
John Metchie III WR · 34% snaps1.502.26+0.76
Brycen Tremayne WR · 55% snaps1.201.98+0.78
Jonathon Brooks RB · 30% snaps1.101.23+0.13
AJ Dillon RB · 12% snaps0.600.73+0.13
David Moore WR · 3% snaps0.601.24+0.64
Ja'Seem Reed WR · 13% snaps0.501.13+0.63
Trevor Etienne RB · 4% snaps0.300.43+0.13
Anthony Tyus III RB · 3% snaps0.200.33+0.13
Feleipe Franks TE · 6% snaps0.100.25+0.15

Injury history

Over his 1 full season on record, Tetairoa McMillan played 17 of 17 regular-season games (100%), and 5 of 5 so far in 2026.

SeasonTeamPlayedMissedListed outQuestionableInjuries listed
2026CAR5 of 5000—
2025CAR17 of 17003Calf, Hamstring, Illness

Regular season only. Games played counts games with at least one offensive snap; designations are from the official weekly injury report, which does not list players on injured reserve, so a long absence shows as missed games rather than as weeks listed out.

What the data says happens

Measured across every regular-season game from 2018 onward, each beneficiary compared against his own trailing four-game form and net of what the same players do in weeks the room’s number one actually plays.

When a team’s number-one wide receiver does not play, what each position group gains:

RoomReceptions gainednt
Receivers+0.5841,53711.16
Tight ends+0.1751,0803.33
Backs+0.1131,0112.00

The room total is predictable. Which player takes it is not. Every candidate predictor of who gains — pecking order, snap share, route depth, trailing targets — correlates at roughly r = 0.02. In any single week one player usually takes about 60% of what was vacated; it is simply not predictably the same one.

Tetairoa McMillan’s full stats and usageSnap share, target share, game log and this week’s projection

Cascade effects 2018–2026, paired within player, net of control · projections as-of-week with no lookahead · 2026 week 7