6′1″, 184 lb · age 25 · Alabama; Ohio State · 2022 draft, round 1
Week 5 stats
Sun Oct 11, at ARI: Jameson Williams caught 2 of 4 targets for 47 yards, 2 touchdowns on 89% of snaps.
Stats through week 5; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 5 games this season Jameson Williams is averaging 3.6 receptions and 55 receiving yards on 90% of snaps, against 3.8 receptions and 66 receiving yards over 17 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 11.2 PPR points, WR26 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
11.2
WR26 this week
Receptions
3.8
0.0 below his 2025 average
Receiving yards
57
Anytime TD
26%
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 1 and 7 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Jameson Williams snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
Car
Rush yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
3.8 projected
26 wk5
ARI
89%
13.8%
4
2
47
0
0
2
4.1 -2.1
26 wk4
CAR
99%
15.7%
8
6
102
0
0
0
3.9 +2.1
26 wk3
NYJ
82%
12.9%
4
4
49
0
0
0
4.0 -0.0
26 wk2
BUF
97%
10.5%
4
2
33
0
0
0
—
26 wk1
NO
84%
23.1%
9
4
45
0
0
0
—
25 wk18
CHI
95%
22.2%
8
6
74
0
0
0
—
25 wk17
MIN
83%
10.3%
3
2
37
0
0
0
—
25 wk16
PIT
95%
17.3%
9
5
70
0
0
0
—
25 wk15
LA
91%
26.3%
10
7
134
0
0
1
—
25 wk14
DAL
92%
29.0%
9
7
96
1
7
0
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 19 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
11 of 19
58%
5+ receptions
7 of 19
37%
7+ receptions
3 of 19
16%
50+ receiving yards
10 of 19
53%
75+ receiving yards
6 of 19
32%
100+ receiving yards
4 of 19
21%
Scored a touchdown
7 of 19
37%
Jameson Williams 2026 stats
Through 5 games of 2026, Jameson Williams has 18 catches for 276 receiving yards (3.6 catches and 55.2 yards a game), with 2 touchdowns, on 90% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (5 games)
2022–2025 (54 games)
Catches per game
3.6
2.9
Receiving yards per game
55.2
48.4
Target share
15.2%
14.4%
Jameson Williams 2025 stats
In 2025 Jameson Williams had 65 catches for 1,117 yards over 17 games, with 7 touchdowns, on 90% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
5 seasons of usage, 2022–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016