Sun Sep 27, vs NYJ: Jackson Meeks caught 1 of 1 target for 8 yards on 15% of snaps.
Stats through week 3; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Jackson Meeks has no full prior season to anchor to, so this week’s projection leans on his 2 games of current-season usage alone — treat it as a thinner read than a veteran’s.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
2.0
WR121 this week
Receptions
0.4
Receiving yards
7
Anytime TD
13%
Returning from a missed week. Players in their first game back come in about a third of a reception below recent form, so this projection is held down rather than reading his last line straight across.
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 1 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Jackson Meeks snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
0.4 projected
26 wk3
NYJ
15%
3.2%
1
1
8
0
0.7 +0.3
26 wk2
BUF
2%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
—
25 wk11
PHI
2%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
—
25 wk4
CLE
7%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
Jackson Meeks 2026 stats
Through 2 games of 2026, Jackson Meeks has 1 catches for 8 receiving yards (0.5 catches and 4.0 yards a game), on 8% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (2 games)
2025–2025 (2 games)
Catches per game
0.5
0.0
Receiving yards per game
4.0
0.0
Target share
1.6%
0.0%
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
2 seasons of usage, 2025–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016