Carnell Tate

Tennessee Titans · Wide receiverWR1

6′2″, 192 lb · age 21 · Ohio State · 2026 draft, round 1

Week 6 stats

Sun Oct 18, at IND: Carnell Tate caught 6 of 7 targets for 70 yards, 1 touchdown on 74% of snaps.

Stats through week 6; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.

Carnell Tate has no full prior season to anchor to, so this week’s projection leans on his 5 games of current-season usage alone — treat it as a thinner read than a veteran’s.

Week 7 projection

PPR points

11.1

WR27 this week

Receptions

4.5

Receiving yards

Anytime TD

21%

What a realistic week looks like

The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 1 and 8 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.

Carnell Tate snap share, game by game

Snap shareTarget share

Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.

Game log

Game	Opp	Snap share	Target share	Tgt	Rec	Rec yds	TD	We said
26 wk7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	4.5 projected
26 wk6	IND	74%	31.8%	7	6	70	1	4.4 +1.6
26 wk5	HOU	76%	14.3%	5	1	6	0	4.7 -3.7
26 wk4	BAL	84%	42.9%	12	9	145	0	4.1 +4.9
26 wk3	NYG	88%	25.7%	9	6	58	0	3.7 +2.3
26 wk2	PHI	75%	29.4%	5	3	27	0	—
26 wk1	NYJ	88%	21.4%	6	4	38	0	—

“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.

Carnell Tate 2026 stats

Through 6 games of 2026, Carnell Tate has 29 catches for 344 receiving yards (4.8 catches and 57.3 yards a game), with 1 touchdown, on 81% of snaps.

His first season in the warehouse, so there is no prior year to compare against and no career arc to draw — the projection leans on the league's rookies rather than on him.

	2026 so far (6 games)
Catches per game	4.8
Receiving yards per game	57.3
Target share	27.6%

If Carnell Tate sits, who gets his work?The measured redistribution across the TEN room — with sample size and t-statistic The whole Tennessee Titans roomEvery pass-catcher ranked by the usage that predicts production

Related players

The rest of the Tennessee Titans receiver room, by target share.

Ranked next to him at WR for week 7.

Tee Higgins WR24 · CIN
Luther Burden III WR25 · CHI
Jameson Williams WR26 · DET
Germie Bernard WR28 · PIT
Omar Cooper Jr. WR29 · NYJ
Rome Odunze WR30 · CHI

What we have measured about wide receivers

Are players better coming off a bye week?They are slightly worse Do defenses shut down the other team’s best receiver?Barely

Projections are as-of-week with no lookahead · usage from official play-by-play and snap counts · 2026 week 7