Sun Oct 18, at IND: Elic Ayomanor caught 1 of 2 targets for 3 yards on 61% of snaps.
Stats through week 6; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 6 games this season Elic Ayomanor is averaging 1.2 receptions and 22 receiving yards on 60% of snaps, against 2.6 receptions and 32 receiving yards over 16 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 4.5 PPR points, WR78 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
4.5
WR78 this week
Receptions
1.8
0.8 below his 2025 average
Receiving yards
25
Anytime TD
8%
He is used near the goal line, a role that runs slightly ahead of trailing form: +0.10 receptions.
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 4 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Elic Ayomanor snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
1.8 projected
26 wk6
IND
61%
9.1%
2
1
3
0
1.6 -0.6
26 wk5
HOU
52%
5.7%
2
1
17
0
2.5 -1.5
26 wk4
BAL
62%
3.6%
1
1
22
0
2.6 -1.6
26 wk3
NYG
80%
8.6%
3
1
11
0
2.2 -1.2
26 wk2
PHI
53%
17.6%
3
2
69
0
—
26 wk1
NYJ
52%
10.7%
3
1
11
1
—
25 wk18
JAX
94%
30.3%
10
3
50
0
—
25 wk17
NO
81%
20.0%
7
4
37
1
—
25 wk16
KC
56%
14.8%
4
3
58
0
—
25 wk15
SF
81%
3.7%
1
1
17
0
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 18 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
8 of 18
44%
5+ receptions
0 of 18
0%
7+ receptions
0 of 18
0%
50+ receiving yards
5 of 18
28%
75+ receiving yards
0 of 18
0%
100+ receiving yards
0 of 18
0%
Scored a touchdown
5 of 18
28%
Elic Ayomanor 2026 stats
Through 6 games of 2026, Elic Ayomanor has 7 catches for 133 receiving yards (1.2 catches and 22.2 yards a game), with 1 touchdown, on 60% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (6 games)
2025–2025 (16 games)
Catches per game
1.2
2.6
Receiving yards per game
22.2
32.2
Target share
9.2%
18.5%
Elic Ayomanor 2025 stats
In 2025 Elic Ayomanor had 41 catches for 515 yards over 16 games, with 4 touchdowns, on 81% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
2 seasons of usage, 2025–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016