Sun Oct 18, at IND: Chimere Dike played 17% of snaps without a touch.
Stats through week 6; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 6 games this season Chimere Dike is averaging 1.0 receptions and 9 receiving yards on 11% of snaps, against 2.8 receptions and 25 receiving yards over 17 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 2.3 PPR points, WR116 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
2.3
WR116 this week
Receptions
1.2
1.7 below his 2025 average
Receiving yards
10
Anytime TD
5%
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 3 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Chimere Dike snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
Car
Rush yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
1.2 projected
26 wk6
IND
17%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
1.3 -1.3
26 wk5
HOU
17%
11.4%
4
3
28
0
0
0
1.3 +1.7
26 wk4
BAL
12%
3.6%
1
1
15
0
0
0
1.2 -0.2
26 wk3
NYG
10%
2.9%
1
1
3
0
0
0
1.4 -0.4
26 wk2
PHI
4%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
—
26 wk1
NYJ
8%
3.6%
1
1
7
0
0
0
—
25 wk18
JAX
72%
12.1%
4
3
27
0
0
0
—
25 wk17
NO
78%
14.3%
5
4
55
1
7
0
—
25 wk16
KC
59%
18.5%
5
3
40
0
0
1
—
25 wk15
SF
70%
18.5%
5
4
17
1
-7
0
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 19 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
9 of 19
47%
5+ receptions
3 of 19
16%
7+ receptions
1 of 19
5%
50+ receiving yards
3 of 19
16%
75+ receiving yards
1 of 19
5%
100+ receiving yards
0 of 19
0%
Scored a touchdown
4 of 19
21%
Chimere Dike 2026 stats
Through 6 games of 2026, Chimere Dike has 6 catches for 53 receiving yards (1.0 catches and 8.8 yards a game), on 11% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (6 games)
2025–2025 (17 games)
Catches per game
1.0
2.8
Receiving yards per game
8.8
24.9
Target share
3.6%
13.9%
Chimere Dike 2025 stats
In 2025 Chimere Dike had 48 catches for 423 yards over 17 games, with 4 touchdowns, on 59% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
2 seasons of usage, 2025–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016